Alan Ackerman
Alan Ackerman
chasing fed genie technology
There's some technology follow- through, ... Some feel that the Fed is chasing a genie that's not yet out of the bottle.
economy fed leadership market mode
The Fed has to set a leadership mode for the U.S. economy and the market will follow.
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The market has weathered a poor earnings period and increased anthrax anxiety and has come out of it pretty well. I'm encouraged. The imminent economic stimulus package and Federal Reserve cuts are providing further encouragement,
appears areas bite closer consumer economy economy-and-economics fed hard hikes hit hopefully key maybe months next percent rate six slowing spending targeting three time year
Rate hikes bite different sectors of the economy at different rates. For example, one of the key areas that was hit hard and appears to be slowing down is housing. Consumer spending will take some time to slow down, maybe three to six months out. But in any case, what the Fed is targeting is                  GDP of 5 percent this year and a GDP hopefully next year of closer to 4 to 4-1/4 percent.
balance based cut economy federal helped interest jobs market number perk rates reserve though weak
The jobs number was fuzzy, even though on balance it helped to perk up the market, ... Based on that number, the market is now factoring in that the economy is not weak enough for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in its Sept. 24 meeting.
basis believe clearly cut economists economy fed feeling fighting individual investors points pressure rates rather slower
My feeling is the Fed hasn't clearly indicated that it's fighting a slower economy rather than inflation. Economists and individual investors would like to see the Fed cut rates by 75 basis points and I do believe that would take some of the pressure off the consumer.
closer cut fed hopes however interest might next relief
However as we come closer to the next Fed meeting, and hopes are that the Fed will cut interest rates, we might have a relief rally.
fed interest investor meets money moving people rate starting until volume work
It's all about the Fed. It's all about interest rate jitters. It's all about a lot of money moving to the sidelines. And more importantly, we're starting to see investor paralysis. Volume is light. Not too many people want to put money to work until the Fed meets on the 28th,
concerned corporate evidence following happening improved market meaningful moves needs sharp since
Also, this market still needs the underpinning of improved corporate earnings. We've not got the evidence that that's happening in a meaningful way. I like the way it has stabilized following the sharp moves since Sept. 21, but I am concerned that not enough fundamentals are in place.
concerned corporate evidence following happening improved market meaningful moves needs sharp since
Also, this market still needs the underpinning of improved corporate earnings, ... We've not got the evidence that that's happening in a meaningful way. I like the way it has stabilized following the sharp moves since Sept. 21, but I am concerned that not enough fundamentals are in place.
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I like two stocks, Apache and Ocean Energy. I don't own either of them. The firm doesn't make a market in any of them. We don't have an investment banking relationship, to the best of my knowledge, but I think both stocks have done well in the poor market, ... Apache is really building a pipeline of reserves. They drill in seven major countries. They're natural gas rich. They have held in this market and I think we can look for big earnings coming up over the next year or two.
economy feeling good market plenty selling senses signs skeptics starting
I think the market senses something good going on. On the one hand, the feeling is that the economy is starting to show signs of improvement. But there are plenty of skeptics around who say that feeling may be a little premature, and they are selling on strength,
catalyst clearing market reaching rebound sure turn type
It will take some type of catalyst to turn this market. One can't be sure what that will be or when we will see it. Meanwhile, valuations are contracting significantly and my sense is that the market is reaching an oversold condition. Much of the market's rebound will have to do with clearing up some of the uncertainties.
helped reasonably today upbeat
That has helped the techs today (Wednesday), ... They have a reasonably upbeat forecast.