Donald Selkin
Donald Selkin
drifting earnings encouraged few next oil positive prices seem
We're drifting, and we're probably going to keep drifting for the next few weeks. But that's OK, there are positive developments out there. Oil prices seem to be under control, and I'm more encouraged about the second-quarter earnings than I have been in a while.
asset bonds few followed gains last market moon people shift shots
We've had moon shots over the last few days, so this is natural. The market is digesting a lot of the gains it has made. The important thing is there is an asset allocation shift that has followed through from yesterday, with people getting out of bonds and into stocks.
earnings few grind maybe mostly next period weeks
I would say in the next few weeks we can kind of grind in place, maybe a little to the upside. Maybe we'll get through the pre-announcement period without too much trouble, and then we'll get into third-quarter earnings in October, and they should be mostly in line.
bad data economic faded few good half last month ok quarter sour weeks
We did OK for the first half of the month and then faded out -- a lot of the economic data in the last few weeks have been a little discouraging. It's kind of a sour way to end a good quarter but not too bad for the month.
bear few grin maybe next november optimistic run
I'm maybe more optimistic for the end of the year, but for the next few weeks, I think we are still in these treacherous waters. We're just going to have to grin and bear it, and then maybe we'll see a run up in November and December.
buyers classic couple days definition few lower people rally selling strong
I'm encouraged. You get a strong rally for a few days, a couple of days of selling so people can take some profits, then new buyers come in at the lower level. That's the classic definition of an uptrend.
bit maybe next pull
I think we'll consolidate around these levels, maybe pull back a bit next week, but nothing much.
allow beyond bounce bust earnings push rest strength
I think we'll bounce in this same range. I don't think the rest of the earnings will allow us to bust out of this range... I don't see where we would get the strength to push us beyond those highs.
might move talk tomorrow toward
I think tomorrow (the Fed) will do nothing. But the talk now is that they might move toward a tightening bias.
couple days dig good heels hope key levels news pattern people reason support
People are frustrated. The pattern has been a couple of days of rallies on a little good news and then it fizzles out. There's no reason to make big commitments with all of this unresolved. The hope now is that we can dig in our heels at key support levels and find some balance.
bond data declining economic factors forecasts negative news note selling weak yields
We have a lot of factors at play here. It's an accumulation of all the negative economic news this week, capped off by the jobless data this morning, bond yields declining so sharply, and the weak forecasts out of companies. But what really accelerated the selling was the note out of Goldman Sachs about the Fed.
company good microsoft news paying pick says sign spending stock warned year
On the surface, the Microsoft news was terrific. When a company says it's paying a dividend and announces a 2-for-1 stock split, that's usually a sign of good things to come. But then they warned about the year and said IT (information technology) spending wasn't going to pick up, and so the stock is selling.
calm future language leave market
I think if they take out the language about inflation, as well as leave in the 'measured' (at future meetings), that will calm the market a bit.
advance bush might possible stocks victory
Some of the stocks that rallied in advance of a possible Bush victory might be vulnerable.