Donald Selkin
Donald Selkin
drifting earnings encouraged few next oil positive prices seem
We're drifting, and we're probably going to keep drifting for the next few weeks. But that's OK, there are positive developments out there. Oil prices seem to be under control, and I'm more encouraged about the second-quarter earnings than I have been in a while.
behind curve disconnect economy fed leading lower months people positive rates seems seen starting stock supposed talking
Normally, lower rates would be seen as a positive for stocks, but in this case, it seems like the Fed is behind the curve and the Fed is supposed to be leading us out of this. For months people have been talking about the disconnect between the economy and stock prices. Now it's starting to seem like that disconnect is narrowing.
difficult good market needs news range seem time
I just think we can't seem to get out of that range we're in. We're in a seasonally difficult time of the year. All the good news is in the market ... it needs a new catalyst.
bounce concerning consistent days early guess lift next seem selling
I guess after all this selling you could see an oversold bounce next week, and some up days here and there in early February. What's concerning is that there doesn't seem to be anything to lift us on a more consistent basis.
bit cyclical rallying seems shifting
There seems to be a little bit of shifting into some of the beaten-down cyclical stocks. They are rallying off of oversold conditions.
beyond looking market people seems wants
The market seems like it wants to go higher. People are looking beyond the valley.
felt low maybe news people rally rates seeing seemed sure
I'm not so sure that the rally was commensurate with the news out of the Fed. They seemed to say that they're going to keep rates low for a long time, which wasn't a surprise, but maybe people felt better seeing it spelled out more clearly.
bit maybe next pull
I think we'll consolidate around these levels, maybe pull back a bit next week, but nothing much.
allow beyond bounce bust earnings push rest strength
I think we'll bounce in this same range. I don't think the rest of the earnings will allow us to bust out of this range... I don't see where we would get the strength to push us beyond those highs.
might move talk tomorrow toward
I think tomorrow (the Fed) will do nothing. But the talk now is that they might move toward a tightening bias.
couple days dig good heels hope key levels news pattern people reason support
People are frustrated. The pattern has been a couple of days of rallies on a little good news and then it fizzles out. There's no reason to make big commitments with all of this unresolved. The hope now is that we can dig in our heels at key support levels and find some balance.
bond data declining economic factors forecasts negative news note selling weak yields
We have a lot of factors at play here. It's an accumulation of all the negative economic news this week, capped off by the jobless data this morning, bond yields declining so sharply, and the weak forecasts out of companies. But what really accelerated the selling was the note out of Goldman Sachs about the Fed.
company good microsoft news paying pick says sign spending stock warned year
On the surface, the Microsoft news was terrific. When a company says it's paying a dividend and announces a 2-for-1 stock split, that's usually a sign of good things to come. But then they warned about the year and said IT (information technology) spending wasn't going to pick up, and so the stock is selling.
calm future language leave market
I think if they take out the language about inflation, as well as leave in the 'measured' (at future meetings), that will calm the market a bit.