Gary Schlossberg
Gary Schlossberg
bond both curve funds market money yield
The yield curve has narrowed. Some money market funds are now yielding more than 4%. At that rate, they're competitive with both short- and long-term bond funds.
holding market
That may be holding the market back a bit.
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There's some caution ahead of Greenspan. The market is looking for soothing words, such as growth is moderating and inflation is not a problem.
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It's not going to affect monetary policy. The Fed is forward looking. The change is at the low end of expectations. At the margins, it may affect investors by refocusing on inflation. They are already concerned about oil prices.
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The Fed is keeping an eye on core inflation because they were concerned about prices spilling over from energy and commodities to the rest of the economy. This increases the odds that interest rate increases can remain measured, a quarter-point at a time.
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While the report does not make it a certainty, it increases the probability that the Fed will leave policy unchanged.
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We're seeing evidence of Utah households responding to higher fuel costs by driving less, heating less, and being more efficient. And if oil prices stay high, we should also see more enduring efforts to explore alternatives, like tar sands and oil shale.