George Buckley
George Buckley
exports improved looks numbers quite trade underlying
If you look at the underlying numbers you'll see that underlying trade has improved. It looks like exports have improved quite a bit.
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The January numbers looked overly weak, in light of recent developments in the housing market so some recovery in these figures was to be expected.
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Increased foreign competition in domestic and overseas markets, alongside the strength of sterling over recent years has seemingly had a significant impact on UK manufacturers, with Asia in particular becoming a more important source of imports.
general housing market picture
The general picture from the housing market has not changed,
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I've teamed with Judy Meister of Santa Anna, who is the Coleman County coordinator. We're trying to get people to sign the petition.
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I think these minutes are fully consistent with them having to wait until next year.
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An improvement in the outlook for the services sector, a stronger housing market and expectations of a reasonable Christmas for retailers should be enough to keep the Bank of England on hold (in January).
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Energy bills are going up, people are worried about their pensions and the labor market is loosening. All of those are reasons why the consumer may not be as strong going forward.
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How all of these factors will impact on the western economies only time will tell, but suffice to say that the UK will face some important challenges from Asia over the years to come.
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The more pressing need for companies to address their pension fund deficits has no doubt been an important reason for weaker investment.
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It looks like the decline has been generated largely because of excess optimism in the housing construction market a month ago which was not sustained.
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February might prove a more contentious decision, especially in light of possible downward revisions to the Bank's inflation and growth forecasts.
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After long admiring 3M for its unique culture of innovation, decades of success, wealth of technology and outstanding people, I look forward to being part of the team that will make real the tremendous potential of 3M in 2006 and beyond.
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The sell-off at the short end (of the yield curve) is understandable in light of this data, with the market now pricing 50 basis points of rate hikes by the end of next year.