Kenneth Pollack
Kenneth Pollack
Kenneth Michael "Ken" Pollack, PhD, is a noted former CIA intelligence analyst and expert on Middle East politics and military affairs. He has served on the National Security Council staff and has written several articles and books on international relations...
antidote democracy gets ground insurgency theory
The theory that democracy is the antidote to insurgency gets disproved on the ground every day.
bush came carter choose clinton deeply east himself involve involved middle office peace personally president spent unlikely
I think it's unlikely that President Bush will choose to involve himself as deeply in Middle East peace negotiations as say President Clinton or President Carter did before him. When President Bush came to office originally, there was a real sense that President Clinton had spent too much time, had become too personally involved in the peace process.
arms backing civil continued either failures fix generating government iraqi iraqis likely problems propel starts
Either the new Iraqi government with U.S. backing starts to fix Iraq's problems or continued failures will propel Iraqis in to the arms of the militias, likely generating a full-blown civil war.