Peter Cardillo
Peter Cardillo
1972 Harlem mosque incident describes the April 14, 1972 shooting of a New York City Police Departmentofficer at the Nation of Islam Mosque No. 7 in Harlem, Manhattan, New York City. The officer responded to a fake 9-1-1 call, was shot and died six days later. The incident sparked political and public outcry about mishandling of the incident by the NYPD and the administration of Mayor John V. Lindsay...
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I think volume is going to pick up to begin with and that the markets probably, by end of this week, are going to begin to get out of that resistance level, both the Nasdaq and Dow. And I think we're probably going to test the old highs by the end of year. Leadership, I think, will come from technology and telecommunications stocks. The economy is headed for a soft landing. All the fundamentals remain in place. And, last but not the least, there's been a tremendous amount of build up in cash reserves. That money is going to be put to use.
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Last week, we encountered an ugly week for stocks as the market discounted higher interest rates,
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I think Mr. (Federal Reserve Chairman Alan) Greenspan is partially responsible for the latest decline in the market, because in his last testimony, he said something that was quite important, and I think he gave a wake-up call to the market. He said that they were - they had not made a decision yet about the August interest rates.
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The fact that the Nasdaq breached 2000, an important psychological level, but managed to close above it several times now over the last week is a positive. But I think we're going to continue to see this consolidation for at least another week or so until more of the March economic reports start coming in.
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We're at the end of the quarter so there is some window dressing. The focus is now totally on earnings, and this earnings season looks as though it will be strong if not stronger than last quarter.
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There is no question that the State of the Union message last night was very strong and very positive. Obviously the economy continues to do very well. Inflation is low and interest rates are still very low.
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We are already seeing some signs of a slowdown in the economy. If durable goods confirm what housing starts voiced last week, then obviously we might see a little bit better tone in the bond market.
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He might fine tune his testimony (of last week) and that could help the markets.
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The good news is that on the consumer side of things, spending actually declined, and the real good news is the deflator was lower than the last quarter and there was a revision from the first quarter. So when you really dissect it all, it wasn't all that bad.
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We're looking at a slightly lower open as we see some consolidation. At the same time I don't expect the market to give up much of what it has gained over the last two days.
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After Mr. Bush's commitment last night, we could probably see some related issues in play that will offset any fallout from the negative sentiment we've had lately,
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As a result of that, every now and then the market needs to remind investors that Wall Street is not a one way street, and things don't last forever and things don't go up forever. It is quite obvious that the Nasdaq was due for a correction.
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We have here a cautious market, and it will continue to be cautious until we get through some major data and Greenspan's testimony on Capitol Hill. Also, investors were taking profits from last week's rally.
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If there are any indications that this could be the last cut, the market might be disappointed -- but the good news would be that the Fed is confident we are in an economic rebound. In essence, the market could work its way higher because better economic times ahead would include better earnings performance.