Peter Cardillo
Peter Cardillo
1972 Harlem mosque incident describes the April 14, 1972 shooting of a New York City Police Departmentofficer at the Nation of Islam Mosque No. 7 in Harlem, Manhattan, New York City. The officer responded to a fake 9-1-1 call, was shot and died six days later. The incident sparked political and public outcry about mishandling of the incident by the NYPD and the administration of Mayor John V. Lindsay...
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There is no question that the State of the Union message last night was very strong and very positive. Obviously the economy continues to do very well. Inflation is low and interest rates are still very low.
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If oil prices continue to rise and there's an escalation of the situation in the Middle East, the question would come up, are we headed for some type of OPEC embargo and where would that send prices. It seems like all of the negative news that possibly could be surrounding the oil market is at hand.
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If oil continues to stay at these levels for a sustained period, it will bite into economic activity and renew inflationary pressure. That could put into question if and when the Fed will end its tightening cycle.
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Obviously it negates the theory about Dow 1,000. What (the new milestone) tells us is people have a lot of confidence. Money is still flowing into the United States despite some question marks about inflation. Nothing has changed.
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There's no question it's earnings-driven. The rally continues to move ahead but on a rotation basis. There are two things driving the market - earnings and economic data. Today's market seems more based on earnings than economic data.
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Today's sharp decline is partly from the Clinton problem, there's no question about that at this point.
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Dell Computer ( DELL : Research , Estimates ) is battered down here, revenue growth put into question as the whole technology group has been put into question but I think, you know, going forward that Dell will be a winner here and I think it should be bought at these levels.
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The CPI was good news but still leaves that question mark about energy prices. The gasoline hike of the past three weeks was not included in it.
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I think it's not a question of real sellers right now, than of people sitting on the sidelines,
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I think we'll see a mixed week -- probably a little bit toward the upside -- but a lot depends on the price of oil. If oil stabilizes around here we could inch a bit higher. If it backs down to the low $60s and stabilizes, then the market might rally.
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I think we'll see a higher market in 1998, ... The economy is very sound. We've had inflation low, going lower, and we'll see disinflation rather than deflation.
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I think what we are experiencing here is a classic stampede of bulls in a long-term bull market,
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I think what happened yesterday and Monday was a wake-up call for investors,
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I think what you're seeing is the process of the market setting a bottom. Obviously, September is living up to its reputation (for volatility), but I think the market will eventually lose its bear grip and focus on the economy and earnings going forward.