Steven Wood
Steven Wood
Steven Woodwas an Australian sprint canoeist and marathon canoeist who competed in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Competing in two Summer Olympics, he won a bronze medal in the K-4 1000 m event at Barcelona in 1992...
activity begins breach continues economic economy fast few hiring labor layoffs markets national percent prospects remain
Labor markets are deteriorating rapidly. Layoffs remain at a fast pace, while hiring has all but stopped. As economic activity continues to unravel, there are few prospects for a near-term turnaround. The national unemployment rate, now at 4.9 percent, should breach 6 percent before the economy begins to recover.
continues costs data declining difference energy fiscal interest lower sector stimulus suggest
These data suggest that the manufacturing sector continues to bleed. Lower interest rates, fiscal stimulus and declining energy costs have not yet made any difference to this part of the economy.
continues couple grow less moderate pace prior sector strength
The manufacturing sector continues to grow at a moderate pace but with less strength than in the prior couple of months.
average continues creation interest job raise rate remains
As long as average job creation remains around or exceeds 200,000 and the unemployment rate continues to decline, the FOMC will continue to raise interest rates.
august below continues diminish economic extended fed growth increase rate report slower third welcome
The Fed will welcome this report as it suggests that slower economic growth will be extended into the third quarter. The probability of an August rate increase continues to diminish and is now below 50 percent.
continue continues creation job layoffs rise
Layoffs continue to rise and job creation continues to slow,
adjustment although decline deep eventually factory giving rapid rate reducing sector slow ultimately
Manufacturing is still mired in a deep recession, although the rate of decline may be slowing. The rapid adjustment in reducing inventories will eventually slow and ultimately reverse, giving the factory sector a lift.
distorted effects figures foreign trade
The trade figures are distorted by the effects of foreign re-insurance on the World Trade Center. Nevertheless, international trade is contracting.
adjustment due factory inventory largely spring
The spring slowdown in factory activity, due largely to an inventory adjustment cycle, is now history,
aftermath associated climbed consumer december declines energy followed higher huge katrina optimism rita soaring
Consumer optimism climbed higher in December after soaring in November. This followed huge back-to-back declines in the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita and the associated surge in energy prices.
bloated data declines demand economy further indicate output slowing
These data indicate that the manufacturing sectors of the economy are still reeling from slowing demand and bloated inventories. Further declines in output are likely.
correct cycle last
It confirms that the (Fed) was correct in pausing their tightening cycle at last week's meeting.
pleased
The FOMC will be pleased with this report,
gain given housing january recent spending starts strength warm weak
The January gain in construction spending was surprisingly weak given the recent strength in housing starts and unseasonably warm weather.