Steven Wood
Steven Wood
Steven Woodwas an Australian sprint canoeist and marathon canoeist who competed in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Competing in two Summer Olympics, he won a bronze medal in the K-4 1000 m event at Barcelona in 1992...
continues costs data declining difference energy fiscal interest lower sector stimulus suggest
These data suggest that the manufacturing sector continues to bleed. Lower interest rates, fiscal stimulus and declining energy costs have not yet made any difference to this part of the economy.
combined consumer early forecasts growth lower pace retail sales scope second slower spending vehicle
Importantly for the Fed, the pace of real consumer spending slowed in March, and combined with early forecasts for lower vehicle and retail sales for April, suggests there is some scope for slower growth in the second quarter,
concern economic fed inflation low outlook tame uncertain
Inflation is sufficiently low and tame -- and the economic outlook is sufficiently uncertain -- to be of little concern to the Fed at present.
interest lower outlook providing rates support
Only lower interest rates are providing any support at the moment, ... The outlook is still worrisome.
data despite economy federal inflation labor low market open provide relief robust tight
Despite a robust economy and tight labor markets, inflation is still low and steady. These data provide some relief for the Federal Open Market Committee.
abroad coming conditions continued demand economies economy expanding fast fed given home increased inventory low pace production quite remains robust support sure view
Increased demand in expanding economies abroad and continued robust conditions at home support the production outlook, given the low inventory environment. The Fed is sure to view the economy as expanding at too fast a pace now that manufacturing is coming back and consumption remains quite strong.
adjustment although decline deep eventually factory giving rapid rate reducing sector slow ultimately
Manufacturing is still mired in a deep recession, although the rate of decline may be slowing. The rapid adjustment in reducing inventories will eventually slow and ultimately reverse, giving the factory sector a lift.
distorted effects figures foreign trade
The trade figures are distorted by the effects of foreign re-insurance on the World Trade Center. Nevertheless, international trade is contracting.
adjustment due factory inventory largely spring
The spring slowdown in factory activity, due largely to an inventory adjustment cycle, is now history,
aftermath associated climbed consumer december declines energy followed higher huge katrina optimism rita soaring
Consumer optimism climbed higher in December after soaring in November. This followed huge back-to-back declines in the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita and the associated surge in energy prices.
bloated data declines demand economy further indicate output slowing
These data indicate that the manufacturing sectors of the economy are still reeling from slowing demand and bloated inventories. Further declines in output are likely.
correct cycle last
It confirms that the (Fed) was correct in pausing their tightening cycle at last week's meeting.
pleased
The FOMC will be pleased with this report,
gain given housing january recent spending starts strength warm weak
The January gain in construction spending was surprisingly weak given the recent strength in housing starts and unseasonably warm weather.