Steven Wood
Steven Wood
Steven Woodwas an Australian sprint canoeist and marathon canoeist who competed in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Competing in two Summer Olympics, he won a bronze medal in the K-4 1000 m event at Barcelona in 1992...
activity although clearly correct cycle last momentum report sector
Although manufacturing activity is still expanding, momentum in the manufacturing sector has clearly faded. This report confirms that the FOMC was correct in pausing their tightening cycle at last week's meeting.
durable factory goods growth indicate pace quite reports sector signals slowing suggest type
The signals in the manufacturing sector have become quite mixed. The diffusion indices suggest a slowing pace of growth while the factory and durable goods reports indicate an acceleration. In the past, when this type of divergence has occurred, the diffusion indices have usually been the better indicator.
attacks cuts demand expected factory further impact industries next production reported sector seem terrorist
The Sept. 11 terrorist attacks seem to have had little impact on the factory sector so far. However, many industries have already reported further production cuts as demand has waned. A more substantial contraction is expected next month.
bias data despite ease economic fed force further gloomy next past report retain toward tuesday
Despite some better-than-expected data over the past two weeks, this report is sufficiently gloomy to force the Fed to ease next Tuesday and retain their bias toward further economic weakness.
august below continues diminish economic extended fed growth increase rate report slower third welcome
The Fed will welcome this report as it suggests that slower economic growth will be extended into the third quarter. The probability of an August rate increase continues to diminish and is now below 50 percent.
adjustment although decline deep eventually factory giving rapid rate reducing sector slow ultimately
Manufacturing is still mired in a deep recession, although the rate of decline may be slowing. The rapid adjustment in reducing inventories will eventually slow and ultimately reverse, giving the factory sector a lift.
distorted effects figures foreign trade
The trade figures are distorted by the effects of foreign re-insurance on the World Trade Center. Nevertheless, international trade is contracting.
adjustment due factory inventory largely spring
The spring slowdown in factory activity, due largely to an inventory adjustment cycle, is now history,
aftermath associated climbed consumer december declines energy followed higher huge katrina optimism rita soaring
Consumer optimism climbed higher in December after soaring in November. This followed huge back-to-back declines in the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita and the associated surge in energy prices.
bloated data declines demand economy further indicate output slowing
These data indicate that the manufacturing sectors of the economy are still reeling from slowing demand and bloated inventories. Further declines in output are likely.
correct cycle last
It confirms that the (Fed) was correct in pausing their tightening cycle at last week's meeting.
pleased
The FOMC will be pleased with this report,
gain given housing january recent spending starts strength warm weak
The January gain in construction spending was surprisingly weak given the recent strength in housing starts and unseasonably warm weather.
although benefits creation increased job layoffs number pace past people receiving remains state
In the past year, ... the number of people receiving state benefits has increased by more than a million. Although the pace of layoffs has eased, job creation remains nonexistent.