Timothy Ghriskey
Timothy Ghriskey
fed levels point wind
We do have the wind of the Fed at our back. At some point this downturn we're in levels out.
aggressive alan basis fed greenspan happen knows market needs points prepare raising rates start talk
The talk is that the Fed is going to be getting more aggressive soon, and may start raising rates by 50 basis points at a time. It's not going to happen this time, because (Fed Chairman) Alan Greenspan knows he needs to prepare the market for this in advance.
economy far fed grind inflation investment raise saying slow worry
They are saying the economy is going to slow and that there's no inflation but that we still need to raise rates. Investment professionals worry that the Fed will go too far and grind the economy into a recession.
continues fed goes inflation influence oil
Oil continues to be a big influence on the market, and the Fed is as well. As inflation goes, so goes the Fed.
belief benign closer data fed helped inflation market
The benign inflation data and the belief that the Fed may be closer to the end than had previously been thought has helped the market this week.
august bit certainly direction fed influence market meeting summer time vacation
I think the August Fed meeting is a big overhang. And certainly the direction from that meeting will influence where the market goes. We could get into a bit of a summer doldrums here with August looming, from vacation time and all of that,
although fear federal forward inflation might months next numbers people reserve week worrying
The fear that's out there is forward looking, with people worrying about inflation and what the Federal Reserve might do in the months ahead. So the numbers next week won't help, although we do get a lot of earnings, which is good.
becoming comments dropped fed hikes language late maybe pointing rate speeches word
But the language in the Fed comments and in Greenspan's speeches of late has been pointing to rate hikes becoming more aggressive, ... The word 'measured' is going to be dropped soon, maybe at this meeting, maybe at the next.
begin continue depend early earnings economic estimates evidence fact judging july less market move negative recent start
I think we can see the market continue to move up through the summer, but it's going to depend on the earnings and the economic news. We should begin to see some evidence of an economic pick-up in the July data, which will start to come out early August. Second-quarter earnings look to be favorable, judging by the estimates and the fact that there have been less negative pre-announcements than in recent quarters.
beyond lift relief seen slight
I think we've seen a slight relief rally, but I don't see what there is out there that's going to lift us beyond that.
bringing correction early highs level market reached seems since stock
I think we've had a pretty significant correction in the stock market since the highs in early March, and we've reached a level that seems to be bringing in buyers.
although effect market meets stock time
I think any time OPEC meets it has an impact, although OPEC doesn't have the same effect on the stock market it once did.
asset cash favorable managers portfolio sitting sure tends today window
I think today is a day of portfolio window dressing, with asset managers making sure they don't have cash sitting around for the end of the year, which tends to be favorable for stocks.
jeff upfront wants
Jeff wants to be more upfront with investors.