Timothy Ghriskey

Timothy Ghriskey
banks domestic economists gross growth investment lower product
the investment banks and economists may come out and lower second-half gross domestic product growth forecasts.
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The fourth-quarter earnings are expected to show growth from a year ago, and there have been very few pre-announcements one way or the other, which is positive, ... But it's not unusual to see this kind of choppiness as traders maneuver around and decide what they want to be in ahead of the earnings.
april conditions growth including likely number picking reflect second talked week
The most important read this week is the first look at GDP growth in the second quarter, ... A number of companies, including GE recently, have talked about April and May being tough, but conditions picking up in June, particularly the second half, and the GDP number will likely reflect that.
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Everyone knows growth slowed in the third quarter, and so for a company like GM to miss is not surprising, considering that it's so reflective of the economy and impacted by oil prices.
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Light sweet crude is over $45 a barrel now, and that's a big drag on various parts of the economy. I think at some point, the price of oil falls and that sets off a rally in the market.
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It was a very reluctant rally but it shows how much the market can feed on itself.
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The brokerage earnings are by far the toughest to predict, because so much depends on how their internal investment performance was.
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I think it's a marriage made in heaven, ... First of all, it gives Allied leadership for the future. Honeywell brings with it some strong management and that was a concern to AlliedSignal shareholders. There are cost-cutting and synergy opportunities. This is going to be a major force going forward.
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Maybe there aren't a lot of sellers left and buyers are starting to put money into the market,
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I think we've seen a slight relief rally, but I don't see what there is out there that's going to lift us beyond that.
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Is this a true rally, or a false start? ... Nobody's going to wave a green flag when there's a bottom.
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I like the rally today and the volume is good, but we still have a lot of economic reports to get through the rest of the week that could either undermine it or strengthen it.
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I thought Dell had good numbers, and it likely shows that they have taken share in a lot of key areas. While that's good for Dell, I don't think it takes the sting out of HP's news. I don't think it has broad implications for the rest of tech.
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If the retail investor has picked up, as you've seen in January, that's a positive, in that you want consumers to be saving more and investing. But you never want to be the last one in and too often that's the case.