Timothy Ghriskey
Timothy Ghriskey
bit earnings economy higher improving justify lifted markets mood positive proof stock summer translated
We're into a bit of the summer doldrums. There have been a lot of positive earnings surprises, but the anticipation of that has lifted markets for months, with little proof that the economy is improving enough to justify those earnings. So the mood is more upbeat, but that hasn't translated to higher stock prices.
business cautious companies conditions current economic economy few future impact impression improving last might onto rather seen taking trend
The impression is that corporations are being increasingly cautious in their projections for the first quarter, which is a trend that you've seen for the last few quarters. I think the companies are taking current economic and business conditions and projecting them onto the future earnings, rather than incorporating the impact the improving economy might have on earnings.
continue economic help improving looks main news steadily
The main thing is the economic news looks like its steadily improving and that should continue to help stocks.
begin continue depend early earnings economic estimates evidence fact judging july less market move negative recent start
I think we can see the market continue to move up through the summer, but it's going to depend on the earnings and the economic news. We should begin to see some evidence of an economic pick-up in the July data, which will start to come out early August. Second-quarter earnings look to be favorable, judging by the estimates and the fact that there have been less negative pre-announcements than in recent quarters.
beyond lift relief seen slight
I think we've seen a slight relief rally, but I don't see what there is out there that's going to lift us beyond that.
bringing correction early highs level market reached seems since stock
I think we've had a pretty significant correction in the stock market since the highs in early March, and we've reached a level that seems to be bringing in buyers.
although effect market meets stock time
I think any time OPEC meets it has an impact, although OPEC doesn't have the same effect on the stock market it once did.
asset cash favorable managers portfolio sitting sure tends today window
I think today is a day of portfolio window dressing, with asset managers making sure they don't have cash sitting around for the end of the year, which tends to be favorable for stocks.
fear tech
I think there's a lot of fear about the earnings, particularly the tech earnings.
jeff upfront wants
Jeff wants to be more upfront with investors.
early good january reputation time year
I think early January should live up to its reputation as a pretty good time of year for stocks.
fed levels point wind
We do have the wind of the Fed at our back. At some point this downturn we're in levels out.
caused collapse dealt iraq issues last leg process resolution seeing
We really think we're seeing a bottoming in the market. We think the issues really have been dealt with that caused the real collapse of the market. We think we're in a bottoming process that can last a while -- we think the last leg of it is resolution of the Iraq conflict.
caused collapse dealt iraq issues last leg process resolution seeing
We really think we're seeing a bottoming in the market, ... We think the issues really have been dealt with that caused the real collapse of the market. We think we're in a bottoming process that can last a while -- we think the last leg of it is resolution of the Iraq conflict.