Al Goldman
Al Goldman
bullish mood
I think we are transitioning from a bearish mood to a bullish mood,
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People are beginning to feel like the boat is leaving the dock -- there is a lot of money on the sidelines. The bottom line is we are transitioning from a bear mood to a bull mood, but it doesn't go straight up. Bear markets stink, but it creates very good opportunities for intermediate to long-term investors.
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The mood in the market is one of a high level of caution. When you get some selling coming in, it's almost like a chain reaction -- it builds on itself.
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Investors are taking the easy way out ? they're sitting on their hands. The main confusion is a lack of confidence in just when the economy will turn up and the economy will improve. The prime mood in the market is one of no conviction.
catch change glass good half last market modest month mood rally shift
The big change in this market the last month or so has been a mood shift from 'the glass is half empty' to 'the glass is half full', and that's why we've had a good rally and a very modest time-out to catch our breath.
best feeds market mood percent
The best stimulant you can have for a market is an 'up' market, and it feeds on itself. The market is 90 percent emotions, and the mood shifted.
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The market is a discounting mechanism and typically looks six-to-nine months ahead. But now everyone is so shook up they're not willing to look beyond the end of their nose. What we need is a mood shift, and they (investors) got no supportive therapy from the Fed yesterday (Tuesday).
bear bull dead mood
It's not going to be a one-way trip. But the bear is dead and we're transitioning from a bear mood to a bull mood.
turnaround
We do have preconditions in place for that turnaround in sentiment.
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We're already in a bear market for small- and mid-cap stocks. Big caps have been in a Super Bowl market and we are correcting that.
cyclical profit stocks taking technology
You are getting some long-overdue profit taking in the technology sector, and the cyclical stocks are having their day in the sun.
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We can't expect it to dance all night like it did three or four years ago. It's not a teenager anymore. But it's still a bull based on good fundamentals.
companies room selling
When you get disappointments on companies that are selling at 60, 80, 100 times earnings, you get more room to fall.
employment paid respects today
We paid our respects today to the employment figures.