Anthony Crescenzi
Anthony Crescenzi
barrel billion change consumer economy enormous gain impact influence oil per prices year
Each one-dollar change in oil prices has a $7 billion per year impact on consumer spending. So the gain in oil prices recently, from $25 a barrel to $37, is an enormous influence on the economy -- $84 billion, in other words.
buy care evidence food gas health inflation people personally products rate relate station trips
This is evidence of what many have said they've personally experienced, ... Many people can relate to the idea that the inflation rate has accelerated, when they take trips to gas station or buy food or health care -- so many products and services.
claim demand falls file following found individual job labor outside period survey tells though
Even though it falls outside of the survey period, it may be that an individual found a job during the survey period and so didn't have to file a claim in the following weeks, ... It tells a story about labor demand and suggests that has improved.
basis both cut discount fed percent points rate
The Fed will probably cut the both the Fed-Funds rate and the discount rate by 25 basis points tomorrow, to 5.25 percent and 4.75 percent, respectively.
further low market percent rate reason
The market has put a low probability on further rate cuts, and I think that is part of the reason why we can't get to 5 percent that readily.
excess growth pointing report strong
The report is universally strong and is pointing to growth in excess of Greenspan's objectives.
alarming certainly favorable last trend
As alarming as this is -- and the trend is certainly not very favorable -- it's not like it was in the last recession.
context higher last released
In the context of the PPI released last week, which was much higher than expected, the CPI is a big relief,
conditions inflation
I think we have conditions in place now that could put off the tightening. Unfortunately, there is some inflation embedding itself.
clinton happened hurt market people report stock yesterday
In the morning, many people thought the Clinton report would hurt the stock market - but it happened yesterday and Wednesday.
businesses failed harmful higher industries money small taxed
The money channeled from failed industries to small businesses would be taxed at higher rates, and that would be harmful to the economy,
downside exhausted itself market
In a sense the market exhausted itself on the downside yesterday,
admitted cause fed greenspan market might news past reactions response sending signals sudden volatility
The Fed doesn't want sudden market reactions in response to news that might be difficult; they want to cause as little volatility as possible, ... Greenspan has admitted to sending signals in the past -- it's the way they operate.
comments either hoping people provides rarely rate signal
The comments don't hint either way really. People were just hoping for a signal about the rate move, and he rarely provides that.