Anthony Crescenzi
Anthony Crescenzi
conditions inflation
I think we have conditions in place now that could put off the tightening. Unfortunately, there is some inflation embedding itself.
both driven due expected figures gains higher inflation large oil percent thursday
There are inflation figures due out Thursday and Friday. The CPI and the PPI both are expected at 0.5 percent (increase), which is a very large gain, but both of those gains are expected to be driven by higher oil prices.
businesses desirable economy harmful inflation overall perhaps pricing rate rise
While it's perhaps desirable for some businesses to have a little more pricing power, the overall rate of inflation could rise at a rate that's very harmful to the economy this year.
consistent figure inflation left moving rate slowly
What you're left with is a figure consistent with the inflation rate slowly moving upward,
attention economy economy-and-economics fed inflation pay point slowing
Even if the economy slows, there will still be inflation, ... But there comes a point when the Fed won't pay attention to inflation because of a slowing economy.
biggest inflation parts
Expectations are one of the biggest parts of the inflation process,
buy care evidence food gas health inflation people personally products rate relate station trips
This is evidence of what many have said they've personally experienced, ... Many people can relate to the idea that the inflation rate has accelerated, when they take trips to gas station or buy food or health care -- so many products and services.
cause chinese credible equity fear good inflation social
The Chinese devaluation would be devastating to the equity markets, and it would be good for bonds, ... But that is not a credible fear right now. The inflation that would come from devaluation would cause social instability.
consumer due friday inflation news next price producer tuesday
The inflation news due out on Friday with the producer price index and next Tuesday with the consumer price index will probably be unfriendly,
accurate align fed hopefully inflation itself needs strong trend unless view
The Fed needs to align itself with the inflation expectations of the market, unless it has a strong -- and hopefully accurate -- view about how the inflation trend is evolving.
expect strong trend
I think this is just a hiccup in a very strong trend that we expect to continue.
events generally hitting losses microcosm notion pose
It is a microcosm of events generally hitting the market, ... and it reinforces the notion that there are yet-to-be-reported losses at other institutions that would pose systemic risk.
below close originally recession
I'm struck, ... Originally I thought that in a recession we could get below 5 percent, but we're not even close to one (a recession.)
concern dollar euro money reserves
I think it is more psychological than anything. But there is concern more money will be put in euro reserves than in dollar reserves.