Anthony Crescenzi
Anthony Crescenzi
economic economy enters further giving grow growth hence holiday investors job looking might momentum optimistic prospects raising seen strong toward
Looking out even further toward the end of the year, investors might grow optimistic about the end-of-year economic situation, as 2004's strong job growth could be seen as raising the prospects for holiday spending, hence giving the economy momentum as it enters 2005,
additional causing create drop economy fed further higher hold interest pose raising rates remains risk stimulus vigor
The Fed will look at a cross-section of data, which still show that enough vigor in the economy remains to pose a risk for higher inflation, ... If the Fed were to hold off on raising rates on Tuesday, they would create additional stimulus for the economy by causing a further drop in other interest rates.
difficult fed funds further higher lower market somewhat step trade
Right now we have to take a step back and say how much further can we go with this news. Where fed funds are now, at 6.5 percent, makes it somewhat difficult for the (bond) market to trade higher or lower in yield.
further low market percent rate reason
The market has put a low probability on further rate cuts, and I think that is part of the reason why we can't get to 5 percent that readily.
excess growth pointing report strong
The report is universally strong and is pointing to growth in excess of Greenspan's objectives.
alarming certainly favorable last trend
As alarming as this is -- and the trend is certainly not very favorable -- it's not like it was in the last recession.
context higher last released
In the context of the PPI released last week, which was much higher than expected, the CPI is a big relief,
conditions inflation
I think we have conditions in place now that could put off the tightening. Unfortunately, there is some inflation embedding itself.
clinton happened hurt market people report stock yesterday
In the morning, many people thought the Clinton report would hurt the stock market - but it happened yesterday and Wednesday.
businesses failed harmful higher industries money small taxed
The money channeled from failed industries to small businesses would be taxed at higher rates, and that would be harmful to the economy,
downside exhausted itself market
In a sense the market exhausted itself on the downside yesterday,
admitted cause fed greenspan market might news past reactions response sending signals sudden volatility
The Fed doesn't want sudden market reactions in response to news that might be difficult; they want to cause as little volatility as possible, ... Greenspan has admitted to sending signals in the past -- it's the way they operate.
comments either hoping people provides rarely rate signal
The comments don't hint either way really. People were just hoping for a signal about the rate move, and he rarely provides that.
debt happened recently reinforce sharp
It will reinforce what's happened recently in the debt markets, (the idea) that there's been a sharp underperformance in high-risk assets,