Anthony Crescenzi
Anthony Crescenzi
economic economy enters further giving grow growth hence holiday investors job looking might momentum optimistic prospects raising seen strong toward
Looking out even further toward the end of the year, investors might grow optimistic about the end-of-year economic situation, as 2004's strong job growth could be seen as raising the prospects for holiday spending, hence giving the economy momentum as it enters 2005,
difficult fed funds further higher lower market somewhat step trade
Right now we have to take a step back and say how much further can we go with this news. Where fed funds are now, at 6.5 percent, makes it somewhat difficult for the (bond) market to trade higher or lower in yield.
further low market percent rate reason
The market has put a low probability on further rate cuts, and I think that is part of the reason why we can't get to 5 percent that readily.
additional causing create drop economy fed further higher hold interest pose raising rates remains risk stimulus vigor
The Fed will look at a cross-section of data, which still show that enough vigor in the economy remains to pose a risk for higher inflation, ... If the Fed were to hold off on raising rates on Tuesday, they would create additional stimulus for the economy by causing a further drop in other interest rates.
conditions inflation
I think we have conditions in place now that could put off the tightening. Unfortunately, there is some inflation embedding itself.
expect strong trend
I think this is just a hiccup in a very strong trend that we expect to continue.
events generally hitting losses microcosm notion pose
It is a microcosm of events generally hitting the market, ... and it reinforces the notion that there are yet-to-be-reported losses at other institutions that would pose systemic risk.
below close originally recession
I'm struck, ... Originally I thought that in a recession we could get below 5 percent, but we're not even close to one (a recession.)
concern dollar euro money reserves
I think it is more psychological than anything. But there is concern more money will be put in euro reserves than in dollar reserves.
concern dollar euro money reserves
I think it is more psychological than anything, ... But there is concern more money will be put in euro reserves than in dollar reserves.
numbers
That was the key. All of those numbers were bearish for the market.
april believes convince deflation dramatic feeds headline month past rampant run talk though upsetting
The PPI just feeds the deflation talk that's run rampant in the past month or so, ... It's upsetting for someone who believes deflation is on the way. Even though there are qualifiers for the April data, that headline is dramatic enough to convince them.
both driven due expected figures gains higher inflation large oil percent thursday
There are inflation figures due out Thursday and Friday. The CPI and the PPI both are expected at 0.5 percent (increase), which is a very large gain, but both of those gains are expected to be driven by higher oil prices.
businesses desirable economy harmful inflation overall perhaps pricing rate rise
While it's perhaps desirable for some businesses to have a little more pricing power, the overall rate of inflation could rise at a rate that's very harmful to the economy this year.