Bill Gross
Bill Gross
William Hunt "Bill" Grossis an American financial manager and author. He co-founded Pacific Investment Management. Gross also ran PIMCO's $270.0 billion Total Return Fund. Gross left Pimco to join Janus on September 26, 2014...
NationalityAmerican
ProfessionEntrepreneur
Date of Birth13 April 1944
CountryUnited States of America
books bush cut far history paltry percentage point program second tax term unlikely
Without a blockbuster of a program in his second term it is unlikely that Bush can go very far in the history books on the back of a paltry 3 or 4 percentage point tax cut for the rich.
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Too much debt, geopolitical risk and several bubbles have created a very unstable environment which can turn any minute, ... More than any point in the past 20 or 30 years, there's potential for a reversal.
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If the economy slows down, if housing moves back down, then at some point late in 2006 the Fed starts to lower rates. That's why a 10-year note yield at 4.55 percent is a decent value as opposed to overvalued.
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At some point down the road, in a dynamic economy such as the U.S., we should be returning to a more normal shape. That means ultimately short rates and the front end of the curve will trade at lower yields than long rates.
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By the time 10-year and 2-year Treasuries reach parity, as is almost the case now, the economy is typically slowing and the Fed is at or near the end of its tightening cycle, ... We are due for what appears to be a 2 percent or less Gross Domestic Product growth rate in 2006, a rate sure to stop the Fed and to induce eventual ease at some point later in the year.
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They will cut until they reach the point that the average consumer finally cries 'uncle' and starts to take on risk.
economy economy-and-economics
I think ... that the economy is declining,
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I would like GE and other companies to be more candid in terms of disclosing exactly how they do these things, ... If they grow earnings, then let's hear about it and find out how much comes from those types of maneuvers.
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When you have kidney stones, you don't give much of a damn about the view,
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We think that inflation will be benign and may come down from these levels.
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To the extent that they're at the beginning of their cycle, much as we were 12 months ago, that suggests a negative outlook for their bonds.
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What the Obama administration's policies have really been oriented towards have always been towards providing benefits continuing consumption. What this country needs really is a policy which stresses investments.
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Americans now know that housing prices can go down and they can go down by 10, 20, 30, and in some cases, 40 or 50 percent. We know they can go down. But five years ago, we thought they could only go up.
rates
It's sort of like a teeter-totter; when interest rates go down, prices go up.