Brett Gallagher
Brett Gallagher
claims clear difficult employment jobs link missing moving point recovery stock takes talked time weekly whatever
Everyone has talked about employment being the missing link in the recovery, but as the weekly jobless claims have made clear for some time, employment is moving in the right direction, it's just moving very slowly. At whatever point a substantial recovery in jobs really takes hold, that's probably going to be a difficult time for the stock market.
confidence corporate earnings heal market street time wall
This is a market that has no confidence. Corporate confidence is shot, confidence in earnings is shot, and confidence in Wall Street analysts is gone. Only time is going to heal that.
consumer future gains increasing laying leg longer negative people rate savings
In our view, we're going to have another down leg here because of the consumer. If you keep laying people off, that doesn't bode well for future consumer purchases. We have a negative savings rate and we no longer have the gains from the portfolios which were increasing wealth.
market seen wildest
It's the wildest market I've seen in some time,
companies decade demand headed investment might otherwise past picking pulling sucking supply tech united united-states
There's been very little investment in infrastructure at these companies over the past decade -- tech was sucking up all the capital, ... Demand is picking up and you have this big, new demand from China, which is pulling away supply that might otherwise have headed to the United States.
accounting allowed data early economic issues market markets recover shows somewhat
The undertone to the market is still somewhat positive. The economic data shows that we have bottomed. It's what allowed markets to recover in early January. But the accounting issues are here to stay.
durable economic extent good poor vacuum
To an extent we're in a vacuum where even poor economic statistics, such as the durable good orders, can't dissuade investors.
certainly ebb flow level market middle national news playing raised security seem sold talk technical
We seem to be certainly playing to the ebb and flow of the news on the Middle East. You had talk that the national security level would be raised and the market sold off immediately, then popped back up once it was dismissed. That's the kind of market we're in. It's rumor-driven, technical and the fundamentals are not playing a role.
earnings less quality
Today's earnings quality is less than in the past.
problems worse
With pharmaceuticals, the problems are pretty well known. I don't think they're going to get any worse from here.
We're going to see a lot of revisions down as we go on through the year. Expectations are high.
ability along bit company continue course focusing follow further gas increase later limited months name natural next others percent petroleum prices production pump sector services surprise turn vastly
We're focusing more on the drillers and some producers. The services sector I think will follow along a little bit later Anadarko Petroleum is one of our favorites, ... This is a bit of a natural gas play. It's the one company in this sector that can increase their production should prices turn higher. Many others are limited by their ability to continue to pump out further amounts of product. I think Anadarko is vastly undervalued. To get another 30-to-50 percent out of the name over the course of the next 12-to-18 months would not surprise me at all.
build gains news order period prolonged slow steady time
We're going to have to see better news and slow steady incremental gains over a prolonged period of time in order to build the market.
bad drive earnings economic either few front good last market news next season seen trading vulnerable
We've seen more bad news than good news on the economic front over the last few weeks, but the market has been trading higher. Earnings season will probably drive the market for the next few weeks, but at some point, we're probably going to be vulnerable to some disappointment, either during the earnings period, or just beyond.