Cal Jillson
Cal Jillson
consider danger delay general losing seat
I consider DeLay in significant danger of losing his seat in the general election.
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DeLay did what he had to do to remain a plausible candidate in November. But he's got a tremendous amount of work to do still. He goes forward into a meat grinder.
course delay election expect fairly primary trouble
I expect him to make it through the primary fairly handily, but my sense of this is that DeLay is in trouble over the course of this election cycle.
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If DeLay were not indicted, he probably wouldn't even have a strong enough opponent where he would have to spend all that money on his own race.
attacks clear convince democratic democrats maybe next nine path remains running six unclear
He has some time, maybe six to nine months, to convince Americans we are on a clear path to a stable, democratic Iraq. If that remains unclear by next summer, the attacks by Democrats will become unrestrained and Republicans will be running for cover.
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President Bush is trying to regain his footing and develop some policy momentum for his second term, and this is just another weight around his ankles.
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It will pass in Texas by a vote of 2-to-1,
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Lots of businesses already have domestic-partner benefits and those are already resolved. What business groups need is stability; they need to know what the law is and move on.
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People know we're running huge deficits and they know the costs have just rocketed upward. Many Americans are now looking at the Iraq situation in that context.
issue ministers political powerful
The ministers may think this is a religious, biblical issue but for Perry, while it may be that too, it's also a powerful political tool.
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If you're betting your own money, you bet on Perry (to win re-election). But he can be beaten because there are reservations about him that run deep.
schools
For most voters, schools are the No. 1 issue,
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is going to plague him not only in his second term but in history even in Texas.
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The Bush administration is in significant difficulty, and the leading figures in both the House and the Senate are in significant difficulty. All of these difficulties are going to go on.