Douglas Porter
Douglas Porter
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I'm actually encouraged by how well the economy hung in there in September and October during the worst of the energy price spikes. The bigger threat to growth is the rising interest rates.
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It's a red flag. Any time the nation's largest retailer stumbles a bit, it's a warning sign.
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They're getting close to the end of tightening.
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At least one spooky theme behind these moves has been mounting concern that the latest spike in energy prices will cascade into other costs and prices, drive up inflation expectations and force the Fed to be even more fearsome than expected in its tightening campaign,
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The industrial sector is cruising along at a moderate but not spectacular pace, and that's a good thing at this stage of the expansion.
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Foreign private investors remain solid buyers of U.S. securities, providing important support for the U.S. dollar, even in the face of record current account deficits.
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Forecasts of parity (with the U.S. dollar) are multiplying faster than bunny rabbits in May.
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There really can be little debate now that Western Canada is already experiencing the closest thing to full employment in over three decades, with the jobless rate west of Ontario just barely above four per cent.