Enrique Alvarez
Enrique Alvarez
Enrique Álvarez Córdovawas a politician and statesman of El Salvador...
easy helped higher highs historical lack market people pushing technical upside
Overall, you have a very technical market pushing us to historical highs because once people got a feel for these higher levels, it has been an easy push to the upside and has been helped by lack of liquidity.
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In Argentina in particular you have seen a pickup in volatility over the last couple of months, and it has to do with the fact that it has higher yields available and longer duration and makes it prone to volatility.
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It is going to be a Fed week. The market is 100 percent in sync with a quarter of a percentage point rise for Fed fund rates at 4.75 percent.
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It is pretty evident that every time you get above (the 10-year Treasury yield of) 4.72 to 4.73 percent area the market becomes uneasy. That is the inflection point where you see negative returns and some spread widening (in emerging market debt).
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There are other social factors in Bolivia that are pressing (Morales) to take more rapid action. The relationship that he is building with Chavez and Castro is also forcing him to act with more speed.