George Buckley
George Buckley
consistent fully minutes next until wait
I think these minutes are fully consistent with them having to wait until next year.
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The sell-off at the short end (of the yield curve) is understandable in light of this data, with the market now pricing 50 basis points of rate hikes by the end of next year.
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Following last week's fully anticipated decision to keep rates on hold, the February inflation report meeting might prove more contentious, depending on how the next two weeks of data turn out.
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The strengthening of both the retail sector over Christmas and the housing market over recent months should limit the opposition to keeping rates on hold next week.
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You're going to go through a rough patch through the next six to 12 months. Inflation is going to be boosted by higher oil prices. There is a clear upward trend.
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If you look at the underlying numbers you'll see that underlying trade has improved. It looks like exports have improved quite a bit.
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The January numbers looked overly weak, in light of recent developments in the housing market so some recovery in these figures was to be expected.
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Increased foreign competition in domestic and overseas markets, alongside the strength of sterling over recent years has seemingly had a significant impact on UK manufacturers, with Asia in particular becoming a more important source of imports.
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The general picture from the housing market has not changed,
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I've teamed with Judy Meister of Santa Anna, who is the Coleman County coordinator. We're trying to get people to sign the petition.
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An improvement in the outlook for the services sector, a stronger housing market and expectations of a reasonable Christmas for retailers should be enough to keep the Bank of England on hold (in January).
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Energy bills are going up, people are worried about their pensions and the labor market is loosening. All of those are reasons why the consumer may not be as strong going forward.
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How all of these factors will impact on the western economies only time will tell, but suffice to say that the UK will face some important challenges from Asia over the years to come.
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The more pressing need for companies to address their pension fund deficits has no doubt been an important reason for weaker investment.