Henry Blodget
Henry Blodget
Henry Blodgetis an American businessman, investor, journalist, and author...
although appreciation believe companies continue internet leading potential remains risk stocks stress strongly upside volatility
We continue to think there is long-term upside potential for the stocks of the leading companies in the Internet sector. Although we acknowledge the potential for appreciation over the intermediate term, we strongly believe that volatility remains a significant risk over this same timeframe and we would stress the long term.
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We think the Internet is tremendously profound. It will continue to have an effect on the global economy over the next five-to-10 years. But there's no way that it is a large enough opportunity to support the 400 companies that have gone public. And I think if you look back in history at different emerging industries, we've often had this feeling that the PCs for example are going to change the world. All you have to do is buy a PC company and you're safe. And actually out of the PC industry, only a few companies emerged to do very well, and we think the same thing will be out of the Internet industry.
anytime believe continue few industry internet investor respect spoils
As the shakeout continues, we continue to believe that the Internet spoils will go to the few, not the many. As one investor we respect put it, anytime a new industry emerges, many turtles hatch, few make it to the sea.
believe calls companies create creating disney entity few given global integrated internet investment likely looking media number powerful received similarly strong whether within yahoo
We have received a number of calls on whether a combination of Yahoo and Disney would make sense. We believe an investment would be much more likely. Given that AOL-Time Warner is likely to be a real entity within a few weeks, creating a very strong global integrated media and Internet competitor, we believe other media companies will be looking to create similarly powerful internet strategies.
advertising america appears approach believe benefit companies consumer continue fall improving internet leading sector sentiment stocks strong winter
The sentiment surrounding the leading companies in the consumer Internet sector appears to be improving as we approach the seasonally strong fall and winter period. We continue to believe that some of the leading consumer advertising and e-commerce stocks -- America Online, Yahoo, and Amazon.com -- will benefit from this.
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The majority of today's pure-play Internet companies will never make money and will not exist in three-to-five years. There will be a lot of consolidation and a lot of failure, and ultimately valuations will fall more in line with historical norms.
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While the combined entity will have a large global footprint, we think cultural and managerial integration of the two companies could pose a challenge longer term.
accurately airline appears believe business compelling continues dependent forecast limited management model ticket visibility
While we still believe the model is compelling long term, the business continues to be heavily dependent on airline ticket sales. As a result, it appears management has limited visibility to accurately forecast the business.
advertising continue despite looking online possible upside weakness
We continue to think some upside is possible to these estimates, despite weakness in the online advertising market. We are not looking for as much upside as in the past, however.
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We continue to believe Yahoo! will make a good long-term investment. As a result of the challenging advertising environment, however, we believe the stock could see significant downside in the next three to six months.
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We continue to believe that the first quarter will be the toughest quarter for online advertising. We expect market growth of only 10 percent year-over-year. We believe growth will then accelerate modestly through the year.
advertising believe bottom continue estimate growth market online until
We continue to believe in the long-term growth of online advertising. Near-term, however, we don't believe the market will bottom until the first quarter. We estimate only single-digit year-over-year market growth in the first quarter.
endless exhausted financial investors simply
We are simply exhausted by the endless postponement of financial gratification - and we think other investors are, too.
add believe comments cycle demand early emerging european pc prospects rebound view weakness weight
We believe the comments on PC demand add weight to the view that the PC cycle may have bottomed. However, we believe it is still too early to 'call the bottom' -- especially if emerging weakness in European IT demand dampens prospects for a PC rebound there.