John Davidson
John Davidson
belief bouncing claims few fully market morning next number pick rally reflected seeing seen start weekly
The market has now fully reflected its belief in a second-half pick up, but for the kind of rally we've seen to continue, you're going to need to start seeing evidence. The weekly jobless claims number this morning is a start, but it's not enough. We could be bouncing around in the next few weeks.
basis economic flip focusing half last news obviously people percentage points ready until week
Obviously people are focusing on the FOMC announcement, ... Up until last week I was ready to flip over to 50 basis points (a half percentage point) but we've had some economic news that's been pretty good.
bond expectation focused market number people react report retail sales saw strong today week
I think the most significant report for the whole week is the retail sales number tomorrow. You saw the bond market react today in expectation of a strong retail sales report, and I think people will be focused on that tomorrow.
close continued determine economic few forth full labor market next people positive struggle trying weeks whether year
I think we'll close the year in positive territory. But in the next few weeks you're going to see the market in a continued struggle back and forth with people trying to determine whether we have a full economic recovery, even with the labor market struggling.
building companies energy expected expense good group hit key last negative number reported talked week
I've talked about Key Energy Group for a while, and Capstone is one of the companies that's building these micro turbines that I think actually just reported last week and had a more negative number than expected because they've ramped up some of their production, As a result, that hit their expense line, ... But I think that's a good idea going forward.
might next week
CPI and PPI next week could be a little light, so that might get some attention,
capacity close data drift due forecast housing improvement industrial modest none number production rest stocks strong tomorrow week
The capacity utilization and industrial production number are forecast to show modest improvement, the housing number won't be as strong as it has been, but it'll still be strong. However, none of these data due tomorrow are really market-moving. I think stocks may be set to drift the rest of this week and into the close of the year.
focus modestly next wall week
But I think people's focus next week is not going to be Wall Street, it's going to be the holidays. I think you'll see a modestly up week.
earnings expecting growth market markets news reacting
There's a lot of earnings and other news out there today, but I think the market is particularly reacting to Greenspan's testimony, ... The markets are expecting a little more growth because of his comments, but that may not be as much as what they wanted to hear.
committing grow investing investment lead market next people rent retirement saving technology waiting
If you're out of the market you need to be in the market if you're saving for your long-term retirement or for other elements, ... People have been waiting on the sidelines, not committing as much new money. I don't think you should be investing next week's rent check, but your long-term investment is going to really grow in the market, and technology will lead that.
fourth positive quarter
I think the fourth quarter will be positive on earnings.
claims key level
I think that's a psychological level more than anything else, but what's key is that the jobless claims are climbing.
given people tried
He's always given of his time. He's always tried to do the right thing. Going to Italy, I think this thing may become a big story over there if people want to make it a big story. Otherwise, it shouldn't.
companies earnings good maybe negative percent positive range stock straight strong summer tone trading
I think we're in a good earnings season. So far, of the S&P 500, 139 companies have reported. Over 60 percent have been upward surprises, only 8 percent of them have really been negative surprises. So we're in a strong earnings season. That's good for the stock market, ... I think the market's in a trading range right now. I don't think it's going straight up from here. I don't think necessarily we're going to get a big summer rally, but maybe a positive tone to the market.