Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato
Larry Joseph Sabatois an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics, which works to promote civic engagement and participation. The Center for Politics is also responsible for the publication of Sabato's Crystal Ball, an online newsletter and website that provides free political analysis and electoral projections...
few governor hand interested
Very few of them have that much energy. He had his hand in everything. He was interested in everything. That's a governor making the most out of a term.
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I've had literally dozens of governors, senators and several presidents (talk to classes), and no one, other than the presidents, has gotten a better reception or more sustained ovation from these young people.
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The Congress reads the polls; they know that the president is not where he was once and they're on the ballot next November.
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President Bush is stubborn, and he doesn't like change. He likes a stable home environment.
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He's secretive by nature. It's a dumb thing for officials to do, especially someone as experienced as Cheney. Just imagine what Jon Stewart, Jay Leno and David Letterman are going to do to him for days. It's a self-inflicted wound.
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They shore up the party base, making sure that the faithful turn out, and they show that they think the races are important, which sometimes they aren't.
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Off-year races are used for bragging rights by the party that gains a seat or two, but the truth is, they are only sometimes an indicator of the future.
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This is a case where the Bush administration doesn't need to spell out what they did and why they did it. It's as plain as a wart on the nose of a Miss America. Any attempt by Bush's spokespeople to present this as anything other than an admission of error will be laughed out of the public square.
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He continues to do it because when he gives a series of high-profile speeches, his numbers go up, but as soon as he shifts focus, the numbers return to a lower level.
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For a first-year senator, that was a lot for him to try to chew on. It was a pretty successful bite.
smart
I think it's a smart thing to do.
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It's permanent now in peoples' minds. It will be in his obituary.
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They can get away with less, but they don't recognize that truth. The cumulative effect on the public is to increase cynicism about government and politicians.
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If Warner can't swing the election to his own lieutenant governor with a popularity rating of 75 percent, then Democrats have the right to ask, 'Can this guy really swing any Southern states or was this a fluke?