Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato
Larry Joseph Sabatois an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics, which works to promote civic engagement and participation. The Center for Politics is also responsible for the publication of Sabato's Crystal Ball, an online newsletter and website that provides free political analysis and electoral projections...
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Why risk his excellent relationship with the current and future junior senator of Nevada to score some points with a few party activists? He's being practical. Successful public people are always practical.
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Wall Street people are noted for making early investments, whether for companies or for politicians.
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The only thing we can be sure of is that the party that wins will exaggerate the results, and the party that loses will downplay the results.
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We can always go too far, and frequently do. Is it a harbinger? Who knows. But it's unadulterated bad news for Bush and the Republican Party and great news for Democrats as they attempt to make a comeback in 2006.
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Usually this happens after the mid-term election of the second term -- during the start of the seventh year of an eight-year presidency.
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To have a chance, Lucas must both demonstrate he still has the fire in the belly to serve in Congress and succeed in making this race as much of a personal popularity contest as it can be. Still, you can bet Davis will seek to tie his opponent to his party label at every turn, and we give the freshman Republican an early leg up.
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The Democratic base is as energized as I've ever known it to be. Bush is hated, and that's all the invective you need.
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What has this session of Congress accomplished? I'm sure they can give me a list of minor technical bills but on the big things they have failed.
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Very few of them have that much energy. He had his hand in everything. He was interested in everything. That's a governor making the most out of a term.
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When you've got this many people maneuvering, it eliminates the period of governing that used to be guaranteed between elections.
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When you're worth a couple hundred million it's less of a problem than most people.
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Frist has managed to work himself into the worst of both worlds. He has alienated moderates because of his positions on Terri Schiavo. Then he has alienated conservatives on embryonic stem cell research.
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I don't think it's restricted to the odd, occasional, off-year location election. This is a way of life in some of those communities.
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He's going to have to walk a fine line.