Larry Wachtel
Larry Wachtel
Larry Wachtelwas a stock, bonds, and equities commentator on the New York City metropolitan area radio. He added a populist flavor to his commentary on the stock market and spoke in a thick Brooklyn accent...
backdrop blue cautious continue cyclical fed heading movements papers path stocks toward wall
There's a cautious backdrop (on Wall Street). We're heading to that glide path toward the Fed meeting. I think there has been a gravitation toward the cyclical stocks and away from the blue chips. And I think we'll continue to see movements into the papers and the metals.
catalyst fed hints major market move raising stop
If the Fed even hints that it will stop raising rates, that would be a major catalyst to move the market higher.
economy fed seeking slow
If the Fed is seeking to slow the economy down that's always the conundrum,
april doubt earnings fed good quarter reported
Once we get to April and the first quarter earnings are reported -- and I think they're going to be pretty good -- (that) could be helpful. I doubt if you'll get anything out of the Fed meeting.
components cyclical economy fed sensitive slow weak
The Dow components are weak because the Fed is threatening to slow the economy down. Its cyclical components are the ones that are most sensitive to that.
basis bet early fed goes pays points terms tomorrow trading wednesday
It doesn't tell you anything in terms of the fundamentals. I think there will be a bet made tomorrow (Tuesday) and early Wednesday that the Fed goes 50 basis points (a half-percentage point). If it pays off, I think there will be a trading flurry.
bring economic federal figures inflation job pace rash signs slowing street week
The abbreviated week will bring with it a rash of economic numbers, culminating in the May job figures on Friday. The Street would like to see some signs of a slowing economic pace so as to assuage the inflation junkies on the Federal Reserve.
ahead attention august course due economic fed focused follows front future indication light market meeting monday month policy rally rate slow statement tendency volume
Attention will be focused on the statement that follows the 2:15 p.m. ET rate announcement, as it will give us a better indication on the Fed's future course of action. Noteworthy is that the tendency has been for the market to rally ahead of the Fed meeting and to sell-on-the-news after the announcement, ... While the market is advancing, it is on light volume due to this being a Monday in the slow month of August in front of tomorrow's economic policy uncertainty.
fed hurt means numbers stocks
It's a catch-22. If any of these numbers comes in too strong, it's going to hurt stocks because it means the Fed is going to keep hiking.
aggressive doubts february federal figures guidance intel job kicked negative raise reserve selling strong turned wave
Negative guidance from Intel kicked off a new selling wave in beleaguered technology, while the February job figures turned out to be strong enough to raise some doubts about aggressive Federal Reserve ease.
gasoline hurting penny spend
Low-end consumers, the ones that spend every penny of their paycheck, are really hurting with these gasoline prices.
declining losers performance ratio shows since worst
On Friday, we had a ratio of 12 to 1 of losers to winners. That's the worst performance since 1997. We also had over 3,000 declining issues. This shows real weakness.
analyzed auto core couple deals inflation items markets numbers prices rate realized reason tobacco took
There were a couple of one-shot deals in the PPI -- auto prices and tobacco prices. If you took those two items out, the core rate was up 0.1. That's the reason why the markets have come back a little. I've analyzed the numbers and realized that this is not inflation out of control.
consumer earnings future numbers oil price psychology
The earnings numbers are still respectable, but they are softening. The psychology is that you can't make projections about future earnings without having some sense about where the price of oil is going and what the consumer will do.