Lixion Avila
Lixion Avila
Lixion Avila is a weather forecaster with the National Hurricane Center. He has been a senior hurricane specialist there since 1987 and is the longest-tenured senior specialist...
develop eastern force forecast pattern strong toward united westward
Then, a strong high-pressure ridge is forecast to develop over the eastern United States. This pattern would force Ophelia westward and west-northwestward toward the US coast.
days system
We were monitoring that system for days and days and days,
dangerous track typical
We always thought it could be a dangerous hurricane, ... is the typical track for October.
cannot expecting few last speculate system
We have been expecting this system to weaken for the last few days, but the system has not weakened. I cannot speculate about it because we don't know why.
affect land
We don't think it's going to affect land.
happened middle wish
Let's put it this way, ... I wish it could have happened in the middle of the ocean.
forecast hurricane next within
Ophelia is forecast to become a hurricane within the next 12 hours.
correspond hurricane strength system value
Normally, this value would correspond to a system of hurricane strength.
environment favorable
There must be some favorable environment, but we're not able to see what it is.
cat ready
That?s why we tell you, if it's a Cat 2, get ready for a Cat 3.
clear explain reasons recent
There are no clear reasons and I am not going to make one up to explain the recent strengthening of Epsilon.
improved intensity
If you go back to the '70s, we have not improved very much in intensity forecasts.
closely few florida interests monitor next northern progress
Interests from northern Florida through the Carolinas should closely monitor the progress of Ophelia during the next few days,
die hope wrong
I hope we're wrong and (Zeta) will die sooner.