Maury Harris
Maury Harris
Maury Harris is a managing director and chief economist for the Americas for UBS. Harris was named among the 2012 Bloomberg 50 Most Influential people in global finance...
country dealing increase manages period rate system three trend ups work
What we do know is that the system manages to work -- we've been dealing with import penetration in this country for over three decades. Over that period of time, the unemployment rate has had its ups and downs, but there's been no trend increase in unemployment.
although average consumer couple despite earnings growth holding job market rather reasonably recent seeing spending spirits stock wages
We are seeing a 'soft landing' rather than a 'hard landing' in consumer spending for a couple of reasons. First, although job growth is slowing, wages are still rising, with average hourly earnings up 0.4% in October. Second, despite recent stock market turmoil, consumer spirits are holding up reasonably well.
begins believe both consistent fed hiring inflation lift require rise solid
We believe that the Fed will require both consistent solid hiring and a rise in inflation before it begins to lift rates.