Michael Gambardella
Michael Gambardella
affected begin beginning believe costs earnings foreign input last price reflect several since strong whether
We believe that Alcoa's earnings will begin to reflect the strong aluminum price beginning with its 1Q 2006 earnings - particularly since several of the headwinds that affected Alcoa over the last two years, whether it be input costs or foreign currency, have stabilized.
cash earnings estimate flow ignoring impact market neutral overweight price raising seems strong
We are upgrading Alcoa to overweight from neutral and raising our 2006 EPS estimate to $2.15 from $1.88 because the market seems to be ignoring the strong aluminum price and the impact it will have on Alcoa's earnings and cash flow in 2006.
believe demand diminishes globally healthy imports inventory later levels low price prices remain rising risk steel
We believe that demand for steel will remain healthy through 2006 as inventory levels remain low and steel imports have not been price disruptive. Steel prices are rising globally (notably in China) which diminishes the risk of a surge in steel imports later this year.