Michael Osterholm
Michael Osterholm
Michael T. Osterholm, Ph.D., M.P.H., is a prominent public health scientist and a nationally recognized biosecurity expert in the United States. Osterholm is the director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policyat the University of Minnesota, a professor in the School of Public Health, and an adjunct professor in the University of Minnesota Medical School...
caused current evidence impact laboratory pandemic recent similar strain
Recent clinical, epidemiological and laboratory evidence suggests that the impact of a pandemic caused by the current H5N1 strain would be similar to that of the 1918-19 pandemic,
asia believe currently eye lead next perfect problem situation southeast virus
We believe the avian situation we currently have in Southeast Asia is a perfect set-up for this virus to mutate into a human-to-human transmitted agent, which is a big problem and could lead this to be the next pandemic, ... We also have to keep an eye on other viruses.
almost bacteria capture commonly disease dogs plague researcher sampling united
Plague actually is a commonly occurring disease in the southwestern United States, particularly in rodents, prairie dogs and so forth. Almost any researcher technically could go out and capture the same kind of bacteria by doing sampling in the environment.
matter vaccine
It doesn't matter if we have a vaccine now or not. We can't make it,
billion vaccine year
We will have enough vaccine in about a year for 1 billion doses.
customs device easily ink means metal move pass pen simply smallpox start within worst
To be able to move smallpox simply means to have a device within a writing ink pen that could very easily pass any customs officer, could easily pass through a metal detector, and you could have enough smallpox in there to start the world's worst epidemic.
advent convinced early exceed experience far hemisphere northern sars short six winter
I am convinced with the advent of an early winter in the Northern Hemisphere in just six short months, we will see a resurgence of SARS that could far exceed our experience to date,
clinical difference failures mean numbers resistance study surviving
While the numbers in the study are very small, the resistance and clinical failures here are very important. Resistance could mean the difference between surviving and not surviving.
bad good news next pandemic prevent
The good news is we can make a vaccine. The bad news, it's not going to prevent a pandemic in the next 12 to 18 months.
attempting care defense dormant stop sure
What we are really attempting to do here is make sure you have antibody defense after you stop the antibiotics, ... Should one of those dormant spores come around, we can then take care of it.
cases china concern disease doubts evidence function happens human quite surprised worry
What happens in China is of real concern to us. Most of us have been quite surprised that there has not been some evidence of human disease in China and we always worry if that is a function of transparency or the cases just aren't there. We just don't know. And the doubts are troubling.
ability adapting bird changes clearly means ongoing played species terms virus
There clearly have been ongoing changes in the virus itself, and what that means in terms of its adapting to different bird species or its ability to infect other bird species is unclear, but it may have played a role.
deal emphasize hands happens
Don't emphasize what you can buy, emphasize what you can get your hands on. If it happens tonight, how do you deal with order?
believe period sometime ten
Ten years. I believe sometime in that period it will happen. But I couldn't tell you why.