Michael Pachter
Michael Pachter
Michael Pachter is a video game, social media, digital media and electronics analyst with Wedbush Securities. He is also the Head of Research for the Private Shares Group, a Wedbush division which focuses on companies which have not yet gone public such as Facebookand Twitter. Pachter has an MBA & two law degrees. Pachter worked for 16 years at Arco where he was Arco's director of strategic planning until mid-1998...
guys industry likely manipulate potential practices trying understand
I think the SEC is very likely trying to understand what industry practices are and see if these guys have the potential to manipulate earnings.
believe choose compared console costs cut discount dramatic expect forecasts generation hardware higher itself last later lift lower million model next november price production reducing respond sales smaller software sony time xbox year
We expect a price cut for the PS2 later this year. We believe that Sony will respond to Microsoft's introduction of its next generation console with a cut from $149 to $99 some time before the November 22 Xbox 360 launch, ... We think that Sony has positioned itself to lower price by reducing the production costs of its console when it redesigned the box to a smaller format... Should Sony choose to discount the PS2 to $129 or even $99, we would expect a dramatic lift in PS2 hardware sales, and a corresponding lift in PS2 software sales. Our model forecasts that Sony PS2 hardware sales will be 1.8 million units higher this year compared to last year.
battle content entertainment fixated group large money paying people possible press privilege putting sony studios video
Most of the press are fixated on video games. They think Sony is only in a battle with Microsoft. Sony is in a battle to make as much money as possible for the privilege of putting entertainment content in a Sony format. They already have a large group of people paying them for video games. They want a large group of studios paying them for movies.
bucks club happen health month months pay realize worth
... like the health club model, after you pay your 30 bucks a month for 3 or 4 months and you only go once a week, you realize it's not worth it and you split. That's what will happen with Warcraft ,
believe microsoft million people relatively shipped xbox
There are 5 million people who really believe they are getting an Xbox 360 relatively soon, by February. Microsoft has shipped 500,000 units, so 4.5 million people are doing nothing. That's enough to just kill Christmas.
fact maybe means positive
The fact that we had a positive rental comp means that maybe rental is not dead.
happening
There are many, many things that are happening that are not normal.
appears capacity greater later microsoft next optimistic recent remedy result unit
We are optimistic that Microsoft will remedy the supply-demand imbalance in the U.S. in the next two months, as it appears that recent manufacturing capacity will result in greater unit availability later this month.
believe major purchases recent slow weakness
We believe that Midway's recent share-price weakness is more attributable to a slow down in purchases by its major shareholder than to a downturn in its business.
believe continued decline declines deep expect fifth helped january marked marketing microsoft month rate releases return sales sell software worse
We believe that January sales may have been even worse had Microsoft continued its marketing push, and believe that sell through was helped in part by deep discounting of new releases during the month. January marked the fifth consecutive month of software sales decline, and we expect a return to double-digit sales declines in February, with an accelerating rate of decline in March.
among consumers continued given persist sales slow xbox
Given continued uncertainty among consumers about the availability of Xbox 360 units, we think that slow sales may persist in December.
box close content either harnessing next pc power processing several skeptical using word
I am skeptical that we are going to see content that even comes close to harnessing the power of either box for the next several years. It's like using a 3.2 gigahertz PC or a 3.4 gigahertz PC for word processing -- it's not going to make much of a difference.
dramatic expect growth modest november
We expect modest growth in November and dramatic growth in December,
competing competition everybody needs sony understand
What everybody needs to understand is Sony is not competing with Microsoft. Sony's competition is with Toshiba.