Oscar Gonzalez
Oscar Gonzalez
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Inflation is on the mat and not getting up soon. With the U.S. economy still in a recession and economies around the world weak, demand is slack and resulting in no inflationary pressures at all. Simply put, no one can raise prices.
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Inflation hawks may be eating crow today. Despite their fears of tight labor markets and a strong economy, inflation is only creeping, not accelerating. I don't think that this report assures that the Fed tightening cycle is over, but I wouldn't be surprised to see rising market expectations of a rate cut. With most prices in check and energy prices easing, this report is about as good as it gets.
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Inflation has picked up and there is some pricing power evident. Certainly by saying that, the Fed is telegraphing that they could easily increase rates by 50 basis points if they had to, even though at this point there doesn't seem to be a need for more than a quarter-point hike,
last statement
I don't think there is really anything new in here. We probably know as much as we did as of the last statement in January.
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The labor market remains the Achilles heel of a robust economic recovery. With the Fed talking about lowering interest rates to zero to get the economy growing strongly again, getting people back to work and increasing demand may be the Fed's primary worry.
achilles demand economic economy fed growing heel increasing interest labor lowering market people primary rates remains robust strongly talking work zero
The labor market remains the Achilles heel of a robust economic recovery, ... With the Fed talking about lowering interest rates to zero to get the economy growing strongly again, getting people back to work and increasing demand may be the Fed's primary worry.
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The kids are in their classes. When you find some success at Leto, the students and the faculty get behind them.
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All eyes will now shift to next week's employment report. The figures we've seen over the past few weeks suggest it will be quite weak. The report may be enough to push the Fed into giving the economy another shot in the arm at their next meeting.
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The employment situation, which has the most direct impact on everyone's lives and outlook, is still precarious, and that's causing a lot of anxiety. They're worried about their jobs, but at the same time, I think they sense that this mild recession appears to be ending, and that will raise their hopes.
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The latest economic releases are just another sign that the economy is quite sick. I am quite confident the Fed will react aggressively.
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The longer we go along this path, the clearer it becomes that the Fed may have to jolt consumers and investors with a more aggressive policy,
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I think the Fed will act aggressively. The timing remains to be seen, but both Main Street and Wall Street are pleading for further rate cuts, so I think Greenspan will respond. The sooner and deeper a rate cut, the sooner consumer and business confidence should improve.
dismal imports overall terms trend
The overall trend is still pretty dismal in terms of imbalances between imports and exports.
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Foreboding. That's the only word for today's report. We could be facing our worst case scenario: rising inflation in a slowing economy.