Oscar Gonzalez
Oscar Gonzalez
crude energy front mean nobody prices record relief sees time trade
Record crude prices usually mean record trade gaps. Nobody sees relief on the energy front any time soon.
additional both coming fed higher katrina oil prices raising side spending stimulus suggest
Higher oil prices and the stimulus coming from additional spending after Katrina both suggest that Fed would be on the side of raising rates.
energy prices rising stopped worst
Energy prices stopped rising in July, and so did the PPI, ... So the worst may be over.
energy prices rising stopped worst
Energy prices stopped rising in July, and so did the PPI. So the worst may be over.
control data err fed inflation keeping price recent side whether worry
I don't think recent price data suggests that inflation is dead. The Fed has to worry about whether or not it is keeping inflation under control and it would probably like to err on the side of caution.
energy given prices push supply taking
Given the tightness of supply and demand, it isn't taking much to push energy prices sharply higher.
building dismiss figures growing pace pressures prices prove remains risks sudden trend
The trend is now clear. Inflationary pressures are building and prices are rising; only the pace remains at issue. September's figures may prove to be just a spike, but we can't dismiss the growing risks of a sudden acceleration in inflation.
achilles demand economic economy fed growing heel increasing interest labor lowering market people primary rates remains robust strongly talking work zero
The labor market remains the Achilles heel of a robust economic recovery, ... With the Fed talking about lowering interest rates to zero to get the economy growing strongly again, getting people back to work and increasing demand may be the Fed's primary worry.
collapse housing news piece point stopping sudden table unexpected unless
Stopping at this point is off the table unless there is some unexpected piece of news like a sudden collapse in the housing market.
interest move percent somewhere
I would think the probability of a move (on interest rates) would be somewhere around the 40 percent range.
basis certainly easily fed increase inflation picked points power pricing rates saying seem though
Inflation has picked up and there is some pricing power evident. Certainly by saying that, the Fed is telegraphing that they could easily increase rates by 50 basis points if they had to, even though at this point there doesn't seem to be a need for more than a quarter-point hike,
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Foreboding. That's the only word for today's report. We could be facing our worst case scenario: rising inflation in a slowing economy.
appears causing direct employment impact lives mild raise recession worried
The employment situation, which has the most direct impact on everyone's lives and outlook, is still precarious, and that's causing a lot of anxiety. They're worried about their jobs, but at the same time, I think they sense that this mild recession appears to be ending, and that will raise their hopes.
ahead choose eliminate fed language measured raised
Before the Fed went ahead and raised by a half-point, it would probably choose to eliminate the measured language.