Paul Dales
Paul Dales
areas drag five growth improved last net next offset year
Over the last five years net trade's been a drag on growth. We do see an improved contribution over the next year or so. It probably won't be enough to offset the other areas of the economy.
consumer data economy external figures industrial message production sector supported time towards trade unlikely
December's trade data supported the message from yesterday's industrial production figures that the economy is unlikely to rebalance away from the consumer and towards the external sector any time soon.
expect wait whether
Whether that is going to change, I don't know. I would expect it would, but we will have to wait and see.