Peter Beck
Peter Beck
beijing far greater korean north places priority problem regime remaining stability survival
The problem is that Beijing places far greater priority on North Korean stability and regime survival than on the peninsula remaining nuclear-free.
bring help korea north serious sure ultimately visit
I think the visit will ultimately help them bring North Korea back to the table, but I'm not sure Pyongyang is serious about negotiating.
double held india north standard
I think most of the world can live with that India is held to a double standard with North Korea.
assume certainly economic external learn photo purely special zones
Were (Kim's trip) purely for external consumption, there certainly would have been some photo ops. We have to assume that this was educational to learn how special economic zones function.
alter costs course expect greatly large potential risks three
The potential costs and risks for all three governments are too large to expect any one of them to alter course greatly
believe both help imports loosen mexican parts south southeast supply
We believe that's going to significantly loosen up imports of Mexican cement, which I think will help not only with construction of hurricane-ravaged parts of the gulf, but also the South and Southeast both with supply and pricing.
interested rather taking
What I'm interested in is who he's taking with him, rather than where he's going.
biggest carrot china currently holds potential stick
China currently holds the biggest potential carrot and stick with the North.
given limited options policy
Given the limited policy options they have, they don't have much of an alternative to talking.
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activities bad banking beijing china immune north outside pressures rein remaining shut though unlikely
Even though the crackdown on North Korea's illicit banking activities in Macau demonstrated that China is not completely immune to outside pressures to rein in bad behavior, Beijing is unlikely to shut down the North's remaining banking activities.
act attention continues goes korea missile north nuclear saying squeeze time waiting washington
As time goes on, I am expecting, I am waiting for North Korea to act in a provocative manner, to lash out verbally, potentially even with a missile or even a nuclear test. Especially as Washington continues to try to squeeze them, and they are going to look for a way to get the world's attention by saying or doing something that is provocative.
accord achieving beijing china committed communication keeping lines means nuclear open purely role satisfied status talks
Thus, China is committed to the six-party nuclear talks as a means of keeping the lines of communication open and maintaining the status quo. Beijing is satisfied to play the role of convener and occasionally arbitrator, not dealmaker or enforcer. Achieving a nuclear accord is purely optional.
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