Sherry Cooper
Sherry Cooper
Sherry S. Cooperis a Canadian-American economist. Cooper is currently Chief Economist for Dominion Lending Centres. She was Executive Vice-President and Chief Economist of BMO Financial Group, with responsibilities for economic forecasting and risk assessment. She comments regularly in the press on financial issues...
early seeing
What we're seeing is reminiscent of the early 1990s -- a jobless recovery.
consumers cooling due energy expect fourth growth higher pinch quarter remains remarkably spending spring
After a spring lull, consumers are back on track. While we do expect some cooling in the fourth quarter due to the pinch from higher energy prices, spending growth remains remarkably resilient.
months six
About six months ago, there was really no concern, and I think it makes sense to be concerned.
indeed proving
June's swoon is indeed proving to be temporary.
dip good hope looking maybe pick production sign stage
The big dip in inventories is a good sign if we are looking for a glimmer of hope here. Maybe we are at a stage where production can pick up again.
cessation coming deal fed seals
This all but seals the deal on a coming cessation in Fed tightening,
policy shift surprises
No surprises for the bank, so no shift in the policy program.
dilemma fed financial growth inflation might outlook problem signs slower underlying
The Fed might have been in a dilemma if signs of slower growth were coupled with signs of a wage/price spiral. However, that is emphatically not the case. The underlying inflation outlook is not a problem for the Fed or the financial markets.
bonds buying change foreigners haven margin massive percent safe stocks
Foreigners own 11 percent of U.S. stocks -- that's not huge, but at the margin it makes a big difference. And right now there's massive foreign buying of bonds because they're a safe haven amid geopolitical uncertainty -- that could change as well.
corporate inflation pricing remains virtually
Inflation in the U.S. remains virtually non-existent, as does corporate pricing power.
assessment diminish dual following hikes inflation looking market meeting open passing rate recall risk
Recall the Fed's assessment following the (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting on Aug. 24, that the dual summertime rate hikes 'should markedly diminish the risk of inflation going forward,' ... This call is looking more tenuous with every passing day.
curtail demand economies given global major plants shutter surplus trade virtually
The repercussions on global trade would be devastating, ... Given that virtually all major economies have a surplus with the (United States), trade disruptions would shutter manufacturing plants and curtail global demand for most commodities.
consistent critically degree depends economic future monetary overall path policy required softness spending sufficient whether
The future path for monetary policy depends critically on at least a flattening out of interest-sensitive spending, ... It is touch-and-go whether the softness in interest-sensitive spending is sufficient to be consistent with the required degree of overall economic slowing.
asset cause easy ended fed inflation interest per raise rates worried
I'm not worried about inflation per se ; I'm worried about inflation in asset prices. When the Fed has been aggressively easy in the past, it's ended up having to come in and aggressively raise interest rates and cause a lot of unnecessary dislocation.