Sherry Cooper
Sherry Cooper
Sherry S. Cooperis a Canadian-American economist. Cooper is currently Chief Economist for Dominion Lending Centres. She was Executive Vice-President and Chief Economist of BMO Financial Group, with responsibilities for economic forecasting and risk assessment. She comments regularly in the press on financial issues...
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The Fed and the markets will see few signs of slowing in these figures, but little reason to fear an impending inflation acceleration either ,
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that the coming holiday season will be rosier than earlier expected.
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It's an unmitigated negative for the economy -- but hopefully it's temporary.
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The inflation data does not take the Fed out of the picture,
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However, there are deepening questions as to how far they will go beyond that point, especially given the looming hit to growth from the spike in oil and gas prices and the renewed Canadian dollar rise.
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This report will not change the Fed's view on the inflation outlook -- they will keep rates low for still some months to come.
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There has obviously been quite a bit of dissension as to the governmental policies, the slashing in fiscal expenditure, potential tax increases, as well as the astronomical increases in interest rates.
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There is no longer a shadow of doubt that the U.S. economy is downshifting rapidly; the only question is how deep the slowdown goes, ... We do not expect to see recession in 2001, but we certainly expect to see significantly slower growth with continued moderating inflation.
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There is no realistic sign of economic weakness on the horizon and wiggles on Wall Street are, evidently, not causing much anxiety on Main Street. The confidence surveys cast doubt on the slowdown view.
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While we would not get too excited, these data are just the right stuff to further trends already under way in financial markets. Whispers about Fed easing are sure to follow.
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While much of the growth surge reflects stellar productivity gains, this pace of growth is way too strong for the Fed,
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While overall U.S. growth slowed, it by no means is flirting with a stall; soft landing chances were increased by this news, ... Indeed, some may ask, 'what landing?'
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When the 10-year yield got to 4.4 percent Tuesday, I said this was probably a short-term buying opportunity and that we would see some correction.
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U.S. industrial activity is improving, but it can't be described as healthy just yet.