Sherry Cooper
Sherry Cooper
Sherry S. Cooperis a Canadian-American economist. Cooper is currently Chief Economist for Dominion Lending Centres. She was Executive Vice-President and Chief Economist of BMO Financial Group, with responsibilities for economic forecasting and risk assessment. She comments regularly in the press on financial issues...
certainly continued deep doubt economy expect growth longer question recession shadow slower
There is no longer a shadow of doubt that the U.S. economy is downshifting rapidly; the only question is how deep the slowdown goes, ... We do not expect to see recession in 2001, but we certainly expect to see significantly slower growth with continued moderating inflation.
eventually hike last likely next rate remain unwind view work
We remain of the view that next week's rate hike will not be the Fed's last work this cycle. Indeed, they will likely eventually unwind all of last fall's crisis-induced easing.
early seeing
What we're seeing is reminiscent of the early 1990s -- a jobless recovery.
action begin businesses capability certainly company data dramatic face larger percent seen serious small taken taking
What little data I've seen suggests that only about 25 percent of businesses have taken deliberate, serious action. And certainly the larger corporations would be the ones that would begin the process. Let's face it, a small company probably would not have the capability of taking very dramatic action.
economy figure heading momentum production solid underlying
This production figure emphasizes that the US economy had solid underlying momentum heading into month-end,
affected along caused damage deployed direct drag fleeting impact katrina massive might money offset prove provide suggest ultimate
This will provide some offset to the drag caused by the hurricane's direct damage and flooding, which, along with the massive amounts of money being deployed in the affected area, suggest that the ultimate impact of Katrina on GDP might prove more fleeting than first thought.
expansion history longest worry
Worry not, the longest expansion in American history still has legs.
months six
About six months ago, there was really no concern, and I think it makes sense to be concerned.
indeed proving
June's swoon is indeed proving to be temporary.
dip good hope looking maybe pick production sign stage
The big dip in inventories is a good sign if we are looking for a glimmer of hope here. Maybe we are at a stage where production can pick up again.
cessation coming deal fed seals
This all but seals the deal on a coming cessation in Fed tightening,
policy shift surprises
No surprises for the bank, so no shift in the policy program.
dilemma fed financial growth inflation might outlook problem signs slower underlying
The Fed might have been in a dilemma if signs of slower growth were coupled with signs of a wage/price spiral. However, that is emphatically not the case. The underlying inflation outlook is not a problem for the Fed or the financial markets.
everywhere good news
There is good financial-market news everywhere you look in this report.