Tim Evans
Tim Evans
came dramatic range surprises within
Everything pretty much came within the range of expectations so there were no dramatic surprises here.
close fact holding market physical risk shortage
There is nothing close to a physical shortage going on here. Instead, what the market is holding here is a significant, and in fact growing, implied risk premium.
perhaps short situation
The situation is not going to get better in the short term. Perhaps it will get worse.
begin behind develop employed higher potential push simple strong term turn widely
Profit-taking was the most widely employed term for what (happened Friday), but we see the potential for this simple turn to develop into a much more substantial decline, as the fundamentals behind the push higher were not all that strong to begin with.
benefit capacity competition consumers
Consumers would benefit from more refinery capacity and more competition in the refinery business.
although boost chilly current expected helped northeast
Current chilly temperatures in the Northeast U.S. also helped boost prices, although these are not expected to last.
april covering crude draw last oil short since surprise total trigger weekly
Crude oil may have been able to trigger short covering off the surprise 1.3 million-barrel draw from last week, but inventories are still at their second-highest weekly total since April 1999.
demand early february forecast persist physical warm
Warm temperatures now forecast to persist on into early February undercut physical demand for heating fuels.
africa americas colleagues compared deal diseases doctor fold per workers
Africa has 2.3 workers per 1,000 people. The Americas have 24.8 per 1,000 people. If you are a doctor in Africa, you have 10 fold (more) diseases to deal with compared to your colleagues in other regions.
airline building chances companies denigrate easily far interested investors margin oil richard succeeding superior tend themselves
The oil companies themselves aren't interested in building new refineries and will tend to denigrate the chances of any new investors actually succeeding in their business. They'll say, 'What does Richard Branson know about oil refineries?' He doesn't have to know about that part of the business, but he can easily see that oil refiners are making a margin far superior to what he's making in the airline business.
blows calming cycles data gulf hurricane last rita week
There may be more cycles of hyperventilation yet to come as Hurricane Rita blows through the Gulf of Mexico, but the DOE data for last week was a calming influence.
inside
This is really just some short-term consolidation. We are inside of yesterday's range.
accident far happy
This is really a happy accident as far as OPEC is concerned.
boost extent failed late outlook potential prices remains season suggest support weather
The weather outlook remains a potential fundamental support for these markets, but it has been so well advertised and has failed to boost prices to such an extent as to suggest that it is still too little winter, too late in the season to matter.