Anthony Crescenzi
Anthony Crescenzi
aversion bonds flow increased junk market money past price risk treasury
When risk aversion is declining, money will flow out of the safe-haven Treasury market into riskier assets, ... High-yield bonds have increased in price in the past week; holders of junk bonds are doing well right now.
begin fears financial issue looking resolution risks saying system
But the resolution of the issue may begin to alleviate fears about systemic risk?Today we should all be looking at our financial system and saying these risks are very low, very few, and that we have a financial system that is sound.
aversion beaten markets risk smaller touch
The risk aversion was a touch smaller today, but it was more of a toe-step into the markets that were beaten up badly.
activity clear currently economic full labor leave market remains risk
They could have said there's a clear acceleration in economic activity currently under way, but it remains at risk of weakening or reversing, owing to the labor market and other factors. To leave it out completely doesn't make any sense to me -- it's as if they think the market's full of dummies.
additional causing create drop economy fed further higher hold interest pose raising rates remains risk stimulus vigor
The Fed will look at a cross-section of data, which still show that enough vigor in the economy remains to pose a risk for higher inflation, ... If the Fed were to hold off on raising rates on Tuesday, they would create additional stimulus for the economy by causing a further drop in other interest rates.
conditions inflation
I think we have conditions in place now that could put off the tightening. Unfortunately, there is some inflation embedding itself.
expect strong trend
I think this is just a hiccup in a very strong trend that we expect to continue.
events generally hitting losses microcosm notion pose
It is a microcosm of events generally hitting the market, ... and it reinforces the notion that there are yet-to-be-reported losses at other institutions that would pose systemic risk.
below close originally recession
I'm struck, ... Originally I thought that in a recession we could get below 5 percent, but we're not even close to one (a recession.)
concern dollar euro money reserves
I think it is more psychological than anything. But there is concern more money will be put in euro reserves than in dollar reserves.
concern dollar euro money reserves
I think it is more psychological than anything, ... But there is concern more money will be put in euro reserves than in dollar reserves.
economic economy enters further giving grow growth hence holiday investors job looking might momentum optimistic prospects raising seen strong toward
Looking out even further toward the end of the year, investors might grow optimistic about the end-of-year economic situation, as 2004's strong job growth could be seen as raising the prospects for holiday spending, hence giving the economy momentum as it enters 2005,
numbers
That was the key. All of those numbers were bearish for the market.
april believes convince deflation dramatic feeds headline month past rampant run talk though upsetting
The PPI just feeds the deflation talk that's run rampant in the past month or so, ... It's upsetting for someone who believes deflation is on the way. Even though there are qualifiers for the April data, that headline is dramatic enough to convince them.