Barry Hyman
Barry Hyman
economy-and-economics higher implies interest strong
Better-than-expected LEI implies a strong economy. It also implies higher interest rates.
economy fed guidance guiding neutral slowing toward
If we get any guidance that the Fed would be guiding toward a neutral stance, that could be a (positive) impetus, ... The economy is slowing but not recessing and the Fed will be there if necessary.
conclusion continuing contribute economy global help high late next oil price prices summer supply three weeks
It's important that OPEC comes to a conclusion to help with global supply but it may be too late for the summer season. High oil prices do not help the economy and it will still contribute to inflationary numbers. Oil will be a continuing story to see how the price of oil reacts over the next three weeks to these increases.
economy great hostage last market proof somewhat until
After last week's great run, the market is directionless. We're somewhat hostage until we get more proof that the economy is slowing.
economy economy-and-economics fed shows slowing stop taken
Anything that shows the economy is slowing will be taken very well by the market. But the Fed is still out there and I don't think we should get used to the (idea) the Fed going to stop (raising rates) in June.
economy great hostage last market proof somewhat until
After last week's great run, the market is directionless, ... We're somewhat hostage until we get more proof that the economy is slowing.
assuming based commentary companies economy fed inventory market problems turn
This is a market that is assuming everything is going to get better. There's been too much commentary by the chairmen of these companies that these problems are inventory but everything is based on a turn of the economy ? that's what the Fed is there for.
concern economy expect fed meetings rally seem slightly talk
I think there's a concern about the economy so I think you'll see conciliatory talk (from Fed governors). We seem to rally into Fed meetings so I would expect a slightly upward bias.
ahead beyond economy half help market near next strength surprising upside
I think there's still more upside ahead into next week, and as we look at the market beyond near term, I think the surprising strength in the economy is going to help us in the first half of 2006.
companies cost defensive economy economy-and-economics higher impediment interest move rates seeing technology
Higher interest rates are an impediment to companies where cost is important and that's Old Economy stocks, ... What we are seeing is a defensive move into technology stocks.
affect blue chips coming companies economy-and-economics effect interest investors less rates technology
The idea is that interest rates will affect the old-economy companies more, because they are more interest rate sensitive. You will probably have less of an effect on technology stocks, and there is a lot of bargain-hunting going on. I think investors are a little more comfortable coming into these blue chips down 30 percent.
accept adjust believe bit dramatic economy effects eventual extent fact fed half horizon interest investment investors market next peak satisfy seeing situation slow slowing soon talk tough wants year
I do believe that the Fed is going to talk a little bit tough and say that it's a little bit too soon to accept the fact that we're seeing this slow economy to the extent that it's going to satisfy the Fed. And I believe that is what is going to keep the market in check. And it's another situation the Fed wants to try to control. They do want to keep this market in check. And we're going to have a slowing economy, and it's going to have dramatic effects on how investors look at the investment horizon going forward, at least for the next half of the year as we adjust to this slowing economy and the eventual peak in interest rates,
changed consumer cuts dropping economy economy-and-economics effect equity forward gains giving hamper interest markets mean psychology rate time
I don't think the economy can really withstand the equity markets dropping down and giving back all of its gains ? that would really hamper consumer confidence. The one thing that has changed is psychology ? it's time to look forward to what the effect interest rate cuts mean for the economy.
ahead believe bottom confident economy economy-and-economics good order purchasing reason
They're (investors) getting more confident in the economy yet I still say this is more of a psychological bottom put into effect, ... There's a good reason to believe that some profit-taking is in order ahead of the NAPM (National Association of Purchasing Mangers) numbers.