Barry Hyman

Barry Hyman
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The markets are really going to be determined by what the Fed has to say. We'll be looking for more definitive talk from the Federal government and (Alan) Greenspan to get some indication of what the Fed is really thinking.
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People have gotten into the belief that much of technology is cyclical now.
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I think the week was excellent. The Fed, even though the reaction was delayed, reinvigorated the psychology of the market. It's reinforcing the belief that these interest rate cuts will be the medicine for the economy.
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I look at a market here that is going to continue to be impacted by rates going higher, ... and I think it's heading into one of those post-earnings periods where it meanders. It's hard to see any substantive reason for us to move higher.
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You continue to have investors weighing strong earnings -- in this case Yahoo! and Intel -- versus the fear of inflation again.
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Everybody expects people to come back from vacation and the activity to start. The first day is a very lackluster day and people are just getting used to stuff.
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That's going to dominate the market today until we get more information. A potential story like this from an OPEC producer brings up the worry that oil can spike to new highs very easily. We see the reaction in equities when oil goes higher. It stops equities in their tracks.
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There's going to be this flip-flop next week and continually until we get through earnings season, going from earnings to worrying about the economic slowdown and what inflation brings so I think next week is going to be marked by that. We're getting to the point where the market needs good earnings. It needs to have a catalyst to get the growth sector moving again.
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I think there's a concern about the economy so I think you'll see conciliatory talk (from Fed governors). We seem to rally into Fed meetings so I would expect a slightly upward bias.
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I think this week's performance has been very indicative of a bottom. The market made a lot of sense this week, since the Fed really helped to ensure the positive psychology that is needed to maintain consumer and investor confidence.
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The market is going to continue to be buffeted by this political story that doesn't go away. If we can get past that, hopefully the market will react positively to the end of a process.
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The bias still seems to be to the upside. Buyers are optimistic and see the long-term side of the market. The downward pressure now is not that great. The money flow has just been too strong.
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It's either down or up. It's great for traders; it's noise for investors.
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The fourth quarter is going to be volatile and trying. I don't think the market has fully discounted all the negatives in front of it, including the hurricanes' impact on the economy, higher energy prices on corporate profits, and higher inflation.