Barry Hyman
Barry Hyman
bonds gone housing improve influenced market rates trends
The market did improve with the housing data. Market trends day to day are really influenced by how the bonds have been trading. When the rates have gone up, equities have suffering, when rates have gone down, the market has been optimistic.
economic extent fed few granted hike indicate last mean meeting news next people rates recent relative rise taken takes year
I think to an extent we've taken for granted the last few Fed meetings, and next week's meeting takes on more significance, ... A quarter-point hike is pretty much expected, but I think the relative bumpiness of the recent economic news could mean the Fed will indicate that rates may not rise as aggressively last year as people had been thinking.
continue hard heading market move periods rates reason
I look at a market here that is going to continue to be impacted by rates going higher, ... and I think it's heading into one of those post-earnings periods where it meanders. It's hard to see any substantive reason for us to move higher.
companies cost defensive economy economy-and-economics higher impediment interest move rates seeing technology
Higher interest rates are an impediment to companies where cost is important and that's Old Economy stocks, ... What we are seeing is a defensive move into technology stocks.
belief bottom brought changing continuing deter fed interest lowering mixed rates somewhat street terms visibility wall
I don't think there's anything that will deter the Fed from lowering interest rates in August. I think the story is going to be the continuing belief that there is a mixed story on Wall Street that has been brought out, in terms of technology. The visibility story is changing somewhat to the 'we see the bottom in sight' scenario.
affect blue chips coming companies economy-and-economics effect interest investors less rates technology
The idea is that interest rates will affect the old-economy companies more, because they are more interest rate sensitive. You will probably have less of an effect on technology stocks, and there is a lot of bargain-hunting going on. I think investors are a little more comfortable coming into these blue chips down 30 percent.
activity assume bond economic feeling further gives higher interest market people rates signs whether worry
There's worry about higher interest rates. The bond market has been very weak, and we can assume the higher interest rates are signs of a rebounding economy. This gives people a feeling of comfort, but we also worry about how rates are going to go and whether it will crimp economic activity further down the road.
drive earnings higher push rates strong work
It's going to be push-pull this week, ... Will earnings be strong and drive the Dow to 12,000, or will higher rates work to push the Dow lower?
anywhere background came confidence economy economy-and-economics estimates expressing harm higher interest itself pace rates shocked slowing slowly street terms wall
The intermediate background look in terms of interest rates peaking and the economy slowing to a more sustainable pace without any undue harm is slowly going to play itself out. I would be very shocked if the GDP came in anywhere higher than estimates because Wall Street is already expressing its confidence that the economy is slowing down.
fed inflation markets ongoing raised rates september since
The inflation story has been the ongoing story for the markets since the Fed raised rates at the September meeting.
bought cheap fed growth interest lowering mean rate rates similar starts stock year
I think the year starts out very similar to how it's ending. Just because a stock is cheap doesn't mean it should be bought ? you have to look at the growth rate and I think the Fed lowering interest rates is going to be very important.
bond feeling fine headed heading interest key looks market rates starting street struggling technical wall
The 10-year bond looks like it's headed higher, so I think the feeling is starting to pervade Wall Street that economy's fine and interest rates are heading higher. But the market has (also) been choppy and struggling with some key technical levels.
maintain market percentage point quarter whether wire
I think we're going to go down to the wire whether or not it's a half-percentage point (increase). If you want to maintain market stability, a quarter percentage point could keep the market at bay.
clears discount happened market number tomorrow
A worse-than-expected number tomorrow will discount what happened this week. If we get an inflationary number, the market will go down, but I think it all clears up by mid-June.