Gerald Cohen
Gerald Cohen
Gerald Allan "Jerry" Cohen, FBAwas a Marxist political philosopher who held the positions of Quain Professor of Jurisprudence, University College London and Chichele Professor of Social and Political Theory, All Souls College, Oxford. Born into a communist family in Montreal, Cohen was educated at McGill University, Canadaand the University of Oxfordwhere he studied under Isaiah Berlin and Gilbert Ryle...
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If prices are rising in response to a pickup in global demand, that's a good sign for the economy. Though it does impart a drag on the economy, you don't feel it as much.
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Inventory levels are lean, meaning companies will need to pick up production.
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If stimulus that was passed when the economy was weak takes effect when the economy is on firmer footing, that could be more stimulus than we need.
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The claims have not been low enough to merit cheering, but the direction has been generally positive, and that's the first step.
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But whether payrolls come in at minus 10,000 or plus 10,000, it won't tell you that much.
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These numbers give you pause. The ISM and the fact that jobless claims continue to rise suggest there continues to be job loss.
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That could cause the Fed to raise rates faster.
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Goods prices are deflating and continue to deflate, but services prices are by no means deflating. Overall, prices continue to rise, so I'm not concerned about deflation.
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A self-sustaining recovery depends on job growth. And I think we will get some going forward.
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I think the Fed is on hold tomorrow and for the foreseeable future. We've actually been proponents of the view for quite a while that the economy was going to moderate, and it was important for the Fed to be patient. And one of the dangers was if the Fed kept raising rates, that they would slow the economy a lot more than they would want. So we think that there are enough signs of moderation that the Fed will remain on hold, and we think that signs of moderation will continue. So we think the Fed will be on hold through the end of this year and into early next year.
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Business intelligence continues its proliferation across the enterprise and we have witnessed the evolution as BI has made its way out of the back office and onto the shop floor, the home office, and the sales field. For the past 30 years we have provided customers with cutting-edge technology and innovative strategies to support organizational success. The advent of portable business intelligence builds on our pioneering spirit and commitment to customer requirements.
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Business intelligence is not just about turning data into information, rather organizations need that data to impact how their business operates and responds to the changing marketplace.
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The Chicago PMI, along with other mixed data we've been getting, points, in my mind, to a turning point, ... But you have to be careful reading too much into this -- it's a survey of 200 firms in the Chicago area with a 50 percent response rate. I think we're at a turning point and will get a rebound, but the strength of that rebound is still in question.
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While the equity market and accounting issues and corporate scandals are weighing on the economy, it is still fundamentally sound. The recovery process hasn't been derailed. We still think the economy is going to grow at about a 3.5-percent pace in the second half -- fast enough to keep the Fed from easing, but not fast enough to cause them to tighten this year.