Jason Schenker
Jason Schenker
hit hitting next today whether
Whether we hit it today or next week, I don't really think hitting $50 is going to give us a downturn.
affected august economy initially numbers perhaps revision seeing shows stronger
What we're seeing is a lot stronger numbers than were anticipated, also with an upward revision in August and July. All of this bodes well for the economy and shows perhaps the economy was not as severely affected by the hurricanes as initially anticipated.
crack crude gasoline iranian spread
The crack spread of gasoline has collapsed, and only an escalation of Iranian tensions could buttress crude at this level.
across builds changing healthy major pressure
There are nice, healthy builds across the board, even in distillates. Barring a major geopolitical disruption, or things changing with OPEC, there will be pressure to the downside.
deficit economic energy gasoline goes growth hard medium national regional retail short wherever
With the year-on-year deficit in gasoline and with economic growth it is hard to be bearish about energy in the short or medium term. The manufacturing and retail numbers, the regional and national numbers, wherever you look they are positive. The same goes for overseas.
anticipate collapse concerns economy obviously rates type
Concerns about the economy have tipped the 10-year down. Obviously if rates rise, we should see some slowing, but we don't anticipate any type of collapse by any means.
capacity coming gulf prices production pulling short supplies
You've got (U.S.) supplies coming from a lot of places: more imports, more refinery capacity and more production from the Gulf of Mexico, and that's pulling down prices in the short term.
disruption issue number physical premium supply
The supply disruption premium has overwhelmed fundamental physical supply in the marketplace as issue number one.
declining employment orders performed prices sector service
The service sector performed well, with new orders rising, prices declining and employment inching up.
downward fades headlines iranian moves oil price prices several situation
You could still see some downward price moves if the Iranian situation just fades from view. If it fades from the headlines you could see oil prices move down several dollars.
crude easily hit
I think it is easily conceivable that we could see crude futures hit $70 this week.
employment ill
The employment index, however, declined. This could bode ill for October's payrolls.
anticipate bubble homes
If there were a lot of homes in inventory, we could anticipate a bubble bursting, but there isn't,
couple destroyed hearing homes importance power problem region someplace throughout wait workers
We have to wait for the refineries to come back on line, which will take a couple weeks. We're hearing a lot about the importance of getting the power going, but that isn't the only problem we will have reopening the refineries. Homes throughout the region are destroyed and workers need someplace to live.