Jason Schenker
Jason Schenker
caused expected factors higher likely market next prices volatility year
Prices went a lot higher than most of us expected a year ago. The factors that caused prices to surge aren't likely to go away next year. The volatility of the market may even increase.
due energy following higher last next risk suit upside week
After the PPI bounced last week due to higher energy costs, there is a big risk of the CPI following suit next week. There is significant upside risk there.
both dispute high led prices pricing quite reaches resolution risk sides table
The saber-rattling on both sides of the table has led to some pricing in of risk, but it's quite conceivable we could see prices go back to $60, even the high $50s, if this dispute reaches a resolution or even a stalemate.
behavior changing consumer despite energy high hold relatively spending
Despite high energy prices, consumer spending will hold up relatively well. Consumer behavior is not changing a lot.
average couple higher last likely moving prices saw toward volatile weeks year
A couple of weeks ago we saw prices were moving toward $70 again. This is a very volatile marketplace but I think on the whole we are likely to see the average price this year higher than last year.
continued domestic employment fuel further gains gross growth higher home interest mitigate product sales slowing solid strong
Strong continued gross domestic product growth and solid employment gains should fuel further home sales and may mitigate some of the slowing engendered by higher interest rates.
blame higher oil tough
It's tough to blame (OPEC) for higher oil prices. I think they're doing what they can.
changes close fed high hike likely rate rates remains rising sitting stems talk
If it remains this close to 2 percent, then I think economically speaking, we're sitting pretty. I don't think this changes what the Fed does in May. I think another rate hike is likely then. But I think it stems the talk of rates rising as high as 5.25 percent, at least for now.
economic katrina number resilience robust service shown survey wake
The ISM service survey joins a number of economic indicators that have shown robust economic resilience in the wake of Katrina and Rita,
health likely near overall
In the near term, the overall health of inventories is likely to be important.
held prices worries
Prices are being held up by worries about gasoline.
above justify prices production remain tough
If prices remain above 60 dollars, it will be tough for OPEC to justify a production cut.
companies oil profit stand
The companies stand to do some profit because the oil is already there. All they have to do is take it off the ground.
employment ill
The employment index, however, declined. This could bode ill for October's payrolls.