John Davidson
John Davidson
assumption beyond certainly current economic environment looking maybe people report
I think people are looking beyond the unemployment report and into the future, ... The current economic environment is certainly weak, but maybe there's the assumption that it will get better.
aggressive announced clear current cut economy economy-and-economics greenspan help hoping investors meeting rate state talked
Greenspan talked very little about the current state of the economy and was really admonishing lawmakers, and he made it very clear that there will be no interest-rate cut announced after the meeting on Sept. 24. I think this may have disappointed some investors hoping for a rate cut or something more aggressive to help stocks.
ahead current due money next people reluctant report view weapons work
If you look out into next week, you've got the weapons report from inspectors due and the current view is that people may be reluctant to put money to work ahead of that.
close continued determine economic few forth full labor market next people positive struggle trying weeks whether year
I think we'll close the year in positive territory. But in the next few weeks you're going to see the market in a continued struggle back and forth with people trying to determine whether we have a full economic recovery, even with the labor market struggling.
continued economy fact greenspan growth market maybe move people raise signs until volatility
I think we have continued volatility until we really see signs of growth in the economy slowing. When we see the economy slowing, I think that people will be more comfortable with the fact that maybe Greenspan is not going to have to continue to raise rates, then I think the market can move ahead.
earnings good overall positive
I think that overall we are in for a pretty good earnings quarter, and that may be a positive for stocks.
positive
I think we will have a positive year.
economic employment forward key news statistics
I think what's going to be key going forward will be the tradeoff (in the economic news) between the statistics on employment and statistics on inflation.
bound election hesitation until
I think there's also bound to be a lot of hesitation until the election is over,
earnings grind historic job largely looking people taking until
Largely people are taking a look at historic information. They're looking at earnings and job cuts, and people are concerned. I think we're going to grind it out until earnings come back.
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Our special favorite, however, is IKOS, ... because it is coming out with a drug that will be similar to Viagra.
case commodity fact greenspan labor market minority prices raise rates thinks tight
I think I'm probably in the minority that thinks that Greenspan may raise rates on Tuesday. I think the real case is a fact that the labor market is really tight and commodity prices have really increased.
earnings environment highs interest rates recently support worries year
There are some worries about will the earnings this year support the 2-1/2 year highs that the indexes have recently reached, particularly in an environment where interest rates will be rising.
follow fully initial jobs numbers people positions positive report seen short suspect
I suspect people have started to recalculate their positions going into the jobs report and they don't want to be short -- they want to be fully invested. If the numbers really follow what we've seen for the initial jobless claims, it could be positive for the market.